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Fracking is a retirement party of gas/oil. It will peak in few years in the US, and it is so immensely non-economical, it's criminal. I would not be surprised, if the soon-to-be collapse of fracking industry, would be the trigger of the next wave of crisis.
I guess we will see in few years time, although I base my position on something slightly more substantial than "the oil was always there, and doomsayers were always saying we are running out of it"
By 2020, tops, there will be a mere shadow of the current fracking industry in the US, and it probably won't be developed nowhere else in the world (because there is no other country that has the luxury of wasting freshly printed dollars by the trillions, and burn them (literally), on the industry that makes no economical sense whatsoever, and is a giant ponzi scheme).
Fracking requires a) very high oil prices (much higher than today's), and b) zero interest rates, to continue any pretense of being "viable industry" (which it isn't, and never was)
Yes it is a ponzi, sorry brother. There are scarcely ANY fracking companies with a positive cash flow, they virtually ALL are totally dependent on the inflow of fresh investment cash (thus, by extension, also on zero interest rates), the decline rates of a single well are insanely fast (therefore, even to keep the total extraction rate flat, they need to drill, baby, drill, all the time).
...I could do that all day
I have read articles on fracking that sound convincing for both sides of the argument and really do not know what to think.
The fact is that business start to make money, and the oil companies are making tons of money, especially here. If a business doesn't make money for too long, the go out of business.
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