Silver ETP Vault Stock Bottom Signal?

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pmbug

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The total silver vault stock of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) that maintain their stock in LBMA vaults increased in May after four consecutive months of dwindling. As I've been musing over the last few weeks in my daily reports, it seemed that SLV's vault stock had bottomed around the 400M ozt area. Some details:



LBMA Vaulted Silver ETP Stock (metric tons)

End of April - 20,337
End of May - 20,552

Difference - 215

SLV (London) Vault Stock (metric tons)

End of April - 12,415.57
End of May - 12,562.96

Difference - 147.39

SLV is ~61% of total LBMA vaulted ETP stock. SLV stock increase was ~69% of the total LBMA vaulted ETP stock increase. SLV is the 800lb gorilla in the silver ETP space and that's why I watch it daily.

If I'm right about the ETPs having reached the bottom of the well in shedding vault stock, we can expect silver lease rates to begin rising in June unless the bullion banks start shipping more silver from the COMEX or shadow inventory* to London.

*shadow inventory:
 
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