Silver Report 260518

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May 18 AM Silver Market​


SGE Spot $85.12 (~$10 LBMA Spot)
SFE Futures $84.97 ($0.15 SGE Spot)
IBJA PM Spot $77.92 (~$2 LBMA Spot)
LBMA Spot $76.57
MCX Futures $75.61 (~$2.30 IBJA PM Spot)
COMEX May26 Futures $75.01 (10pm May 17 quote) (EFP spread +$0.33)

LBMA Spot


Last night silver began trading at ~$75.80, fell to ~$74 and has risen back up to ~$76.50 this morning.


EFP Spreads (ET)​


Spot price @ 07:54 : $76.57

May26 = +$0.33 vs +$0.19 Previously (spot @ 22:00 May 17 : $74.68)
Jun26 = +$0.08 vs +$0.34
Jul26 = +$0.34 vs +$0.30


EFP Commentary​


All EFP spreads remain positive this morning. May26 contract quote is from last night - perhaps thinly traded as the new week begins.

India


MMTC-PAMP (retail) : $95.82 (less 18.45% taxes (IGST*(BCD+AIDC)) = $78.14)
MCX Jun26 [SILVERM 5kg] : $90.23 (less 16.2% BCD+AISD+Cess taxes = $75.61)
MCX Jul26 [SILVER 30kg] : $89.31
IBJA PM spot : $86.58 (less 10% BCD duty = $77.92)

India raised their import duties recently and then imposed import restrictions (halting imports for investment, industrial use only) a day later. I think their markets are still adjusting (or finding their new equilibrium). We are starting to see IBJA spot rise now.

China


SGE $85.12(no VAT)
SFE $84.97

SGE premium to LBMA spot = ~$10
SFE "premium" to SGE = -$0.15

SFE Run Rate​


2.5M ozt (79t)
Remaining Vault Stock = 31,415,560 ozt

"Withdraw" rate through last 5 days = 847K/day deposit!

Run rate =

SGE Run Rate​


3.4M ozt (106.1t)
Remaining Vault Stock = 23,905,850 ozt

"Withdraw" rate through last 5 weeks = 2.2M/week DEPOSIT

Run rate =

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Previous market report: https://www.pmbug.com/threads/silver-report-260515.8932/
 
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