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Old 11-22-2011, 06:53 PM   #1
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17 Quotes About The Coming Global Financial Collapse That Will Make Your Hair Stand Up


The following are 17 quotes about the coming global financial collapse that will make your hair stand up….

#1 Credit Suisse’s Fixed Income Research unit: “We seem to have entered the last days of the euro as we currently know it. That doesn’t make a break-up very likely, but it does mean some extraordinary things will almost certainly need to happen – probably by mid-January – to prevent the progressive closure of all the euro zone sovereign bond markets, potentially accompanied by escalating runs on even the strongest banks.”

#2 Willem Buiter, chief economist at Citigroup: “Time is running out fast. I think we have maybe a few months — it could be weeks, it could be days — before there is a material risk of a fundamentally unnecessary default by a country like Spain or Italy which would be a financial catastrophe dragging the European banking system and North America with it.”

#3 Jim Reid of Deutsche Bank: “If you don’t think Merkel’s tone will change then our investment advice is to dig a hole in the ground and hide.”

#4 David Rosenberg, a senior economist at Gluskin Sheff in Toronto: “Lenders are finding it difficult to finance their day-to-day operations with short-term funding. This is a lot like 2008 but with more twists.”

#5 Christian Stracke, the head of credit research for Pimco: “This is just a repeat of what we saw in 2008, when everyone wanted to see toxic assets off the banks’ balance sheets”

#6 Paul Krugman of the New York Times: “At this point I’d guess soaring rates on Italian debt leading to a gigantic bank run, both because of solvency fears about Italian banks given a default and because of fear that Italy will end up leaving the euro. This then leads to emergency bank closing, and once that happens, a decision to drop the euro and install the new lira. Next stop, France.”

#7 Paul Hickey of Bespoke Investment Group: “More and more, we are hearing anecdotal comments from individual and professionals that this is the most difficult environment they have ever experienced as the market is like a fish flopping around after being taken out of the water.”

#8 Bob Janjuah of Nomura International: “Germany appears to be adamant that full political and fiscal integration over the next decade (nothing substantive will happen over the short term, in my view) is the only option, and ECB monetisation is no longer possible. I really think it is that clear and simple. And if I am wrong, and the ECB does a U-turn and agrees to unlimited monetisation, I will simply wait for the inevitable knee-jerk rally to fade before reloading my short risk positions. Even if Germany and the ECB somehow agree to unlimited monetisation I believe it will do nothing to fix the insolvency and lack of growth in the eurozone. It will just result in a major destruction of the ECB‟s balance sheet which will force an ECB recap. At that point, I think Germany and its northern partners would walk away. Markets always want short, sharp, simple solutions.”

#9 Dan Akerson, CEO of General Motors: “The ’08 recession, which was a credit bubble that manifested itself through primarily the real estate market, that was a serious stress….This is much more serious.”

#10 Francesco Garzarelli of Goldman Sachs: “Pressures on Euro area sovereign bond markets have progressively intensified and spread like a wildfire.”

#11 Jim Rogers: “In 2002 it was bad, in 2008 it was worse and 2012 or 2013 is going to be worse still – be careful”

#12 Dr. Pippa Malmgren, the President and founder of Principalis Asset Management who once worked in the White House as an adviser to President Bush: “Market forces are increasingly determining what the options are and foreclosing on options policymakers thought they had. One option which is now under discussion involves permitting a country to temporarily leave the Euro, return to its native currency, devalue, commit to returning to the Euro at a better debt to GDP ratio, a better exchange rate and a better growth trajectory and yet not sacrifice its EU membership. I would like to say for the record that this is precisely the thought process that I expected to evolve,but when I proposed this possibility back in 2009, and again in September 2010, I had a 100% response from clients and others that this was “impossible” and many felt it was “ridiculous”. They may be right but this is the current state of the discussion. The Handelsblatt in Germany has reported this conversation, but wrongly assumes that the country that will exit is Germany. I think that Germany will have to exit if the Southern European states do not. Germany’s preference is to stay in the Euro and have the others drop out. The problem has been the Germans could not convince the others to walk away. But, now, market pressures are forcing someone to leave. Germany is pushing for that someone to be Italy. They hope that this would be a one off exception, not to be repeated by any other country. Obviously, though, if Italy leaves the Euro and reverts to Lira then the markets will immediately and forcefully attack Spain, Portugal and even whatever is left of the already savaged Greeks. These countries will not be able to compete against a devalued Greece or Italy when it come to tourism or even infrastructure. But, the principal target will be France. The three largest French banks have roughly 450 billion Euros of exposure to Italian debt. So, further sovereign defaults are certainly inevitable, but that is true under any scenario. Growth and austerity will not do the trick, as ZeroHedge rightly points out. Ultimately, I will not be at all surprised to see Europe’s banking system shut for days while the losses and payments issues are worked out. People forget that the term “bank holiday” was invented in the 1930’s when the banks were shut for exactly the same reason.”

#13 Daniel Clifton, a policy strategist with Strategas Research Partners on the potential for more downgrades of U.S. debt: “We would expect further downgrades, a first downgrade from Moody’s and Fitch and possibly a second downgrade from S&P.”

#14 Warren Buffett on the problems in the eurozone: “The system as presently designed has revealed a major flaw. And that flaw won’t be corrected just by words. Europe will either have to come closer together or there will have to be some other rearrangement because this system is not working”

#15 David Kostin, equity strategist for Goldman Sachs: “The wide range of possible outcomes on both the super committee process and the unstable political economy in Europe drives our view that investors should assume the worst while hoping for the best.”

#16 Mark Mobius, the head of the emerging markets desk at Templeton Asset Management: “There is definitely going to be another financial crisis around the corner”

#17 Gerald Celente, founder of The Trends Research Institute: “The whole system is going down. Pull your money out your Fidelity account, your Scwhab accout, and your ETFs.”

Are you starting to get the picture?

When so many top financial professionals are freaking out like this, perhaps the rest of us should start paying attention.

They are telling us that “time is running out”.

They are telling us that “there is definitely going to be another financial crisis”.

They are telling us that this “is going to be worse” than 2008.

They are telling us that “the whole system is going down”.
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Old 11-22-2011, 06:58 PM   #2
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Old 11-23-2011, 01:01 AM   #3
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YES, we should be ready for anything in the coming weeks. It looks more and more like WE will be right, to have thought ahead and hedged our futures by buying gold. Since 2007 we have lived "through interesting times" (as the Chinese would say), but it sure looks like to me that the near and medium term future will be scary...

It's really nice to have our little community here sharing information.


Any of you reading this: please have a happy and safe Thanksgiving! It is my favorite holiday, I have much to be thankful for.

Last edited by DoChenRollingBearing; 11-23-2011 at 01:14 AM. Reason: additional comment
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Old 11-23-2011, 01:23 AM   #4
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If the euro implodes as expected, could we actually see a short term strengthening of the USD as people flee from the euro and into something they (incorrectly) think is safe? This would be a huge buy opportunity for us, but then again, I could see everyone getting scared of all paper (as they should be) and going into metals.

And a happy Thanksgiving, my favorite holiday as well, DoChen.
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Old 11-23-2011, 02:14 AM   #5
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Originally Posted by dontdeBasemebro View Post:
If the euro implodes as expected, could we actually see a short term strengthening of the USD as people flee from the euro and into something they (incorrectly) think is safe?
I have heard several top analysts that think this situation will happen where people will jump into the dollar. They said that the USD looks like the best horse at the glue factory. I don't know what they are thinking. It would be a good thing for us like you said and present a serious buying opportunity so make sure you have ammo so that you can take advantage.
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Old 11-23-2011, 10:28 AM   #6
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My best trading strategies of late have been holding gold (some at a loss, but I can be patient with that one), and shorting everything in sight via SPXU, FAZ, EUO. They've more than made up for other losses in my longer term holdings of stuff like AGNC. I'm not shorting gold at the moment - I think we'll get a bounce fairly quick once the rout is over, or some "bargain hunters" trying to catch that falling knife.

I'm not generally holding FAZ more than two can really gap against you, and the decay due to the fees is nasty (you'd be better off shorting FAS).

I just heard a floor trader on Bloomberg say everyone - big houses in particular - is building up dry powder right now, which would account for a lot of the selling. Even gold is being sold right now to get liquidity. Heh, we're going to get a nice opportunity indeed.

I will probably close nearly all my trades today myself, and have a nice weekend free of worry - at least get net-neutral or close. My fiat won't decay quick enough over the weekend to matter, or so I believe and hope. Might cost me if there's a big dump Fri or Monday, but that's only opportunity cost, not actual loss.

One of the smartest traders I know has a saying something like this "After a long string of wins, just take a break, take the money off the table - take some out of your account and spend it. You'll get too tunnel visioned and cocky and blow it otherwise". This advice has served me well.
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Old 11-23-2011, 11:44 AM   #7
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We are already in the crisis.
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