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Old 01-10-2017, 12:33 PM   #1
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2017 Economic Prediction/Discussion

Hey Guys,

I'm new to this forum.

I strongly believe unless the "War on Terror", escalates the stock market will continue to rise in 2017. I do not see corporate profits falling and the dollar falling to much in 2017.

What do you think about the video below? I like the 3rd reason but besides that I think my economic view is correct, as it was in 2016.

I also, do not think Trump will change the foreign policy to much which would cause some disruptions.

Anyways here is the video:

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Old 01-10-2017, 12:57 PM   #2
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The video is a bunch of disjointed commentaries and interviews. It doesn't really lay out a thesis for specific reasons. There will always be negative headwinds to markets and such. The real trick is figuring out which issues have the potential to catastrophically disrupt things. Central banks are coordinating to prevent systemic break downs in the banking sectors and they have their work cut out for them in 2017. European banks are going to be a challenge in 2017. A civil war in Venezuela could put more stress on oil markets, but I'm not convinced that it's going to be a domino that collapses everything. I suspect 2017 is going to be another year of living on the edge.

BTW, welcome to the forum.
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Old 01-11-2017, 01:55 PM   #3
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My view is that if a potential problem can be predicted, it can be managed, as long as the control system remains as it is or is further tightened.

It will probably require a genuine 'black swan' event to throw the system out of kilter enough for systemic failure o be triggered.
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Old 01-17-2017, 12:13 PM   #4
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thank you!
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