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Old 03-25-2012, 09:50 AM   #1
Fly on the wall
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3 scenarios for Oil

A great little article from Forbes.


"Given the recent ramp up in oil prices, Barclays Capital analysts explored the impact on oil demand and economic growth. They’ve built a set of three scenarios at prices of $100, $125 and $150 per barrel, and one bonus scenario based on their base-case status quo oil price forecast of $115 per barrel. They then quantified the implications for oil demand based on those prices."

Regardless of price movement, I think I am gonna ditch my main car and trade it in for a Diesel with high MPG. I'm sick of paying through my nose to get around.
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Old 03-26-2012, 07:06 AM   #2
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One thing they didn't appear to mention/factor is the military complex demand should more war break out. I'm guessing their modeling process attempted to guess demand based upon price differential without considering why the price might be elevated. The why could be a very important factor impacting the demand equation (both for the private sector economy and the military complex).
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