2025 Lunatic Fringe - Market and Trade Chat

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That's a pretty astounding figure but the CME still holds the right to cash-settle, regardless of the buyers preference for delivery so that's exactly what they'll do. The size and nature of the order may still capture attention and cause some short-term movements or speculation but basically things will move forward as if nothing really happened just like any other day.

Let's hope more people (players is the metals markets) take notice and see it for what it really is.
 
Man that was a Huuuge Gold trade. 106,000 contracts is over 42 Million OZ of Gold. Ie, let me count the zeros. 132 BILLION dollars. That is only central bank or Warren Buffet territory.
 
Here is Rafi's video today where he noticed this and showed that it mostly went away today. Platinum also had a big trade where silver was pretty muted.

 

Fact Sheet: President Donald J. Trump Declares National Emergency to Increase our Competitive Edge, Protect our Sovereignty, and Strengthen our National and Economic Security

PURSUING RECIPROCITY TO REBUILD THE ECONOMY AND RESTORE NATIONAL AND ECONOMIC SECURITY: Today, President Donald J. Trump declared that foreign trade and
www.whitehouse.gov
 
I see that Gold, Copper, Lumber and other things are exempt. One Glaring Exception.... That list said bullion so who knows.
 
PMs getting corrected... still in the 'up' channel

So... we've been in a recession. Watch them blame tariffs for it.


WOW.

The Atlanta Fed has just revised their Q1 2025 GDP estimate lower AGAIN, to -3.7%.

Adjusting for gold imports and exports, the Atlanta Fed now sees -1.4% GDP contraction in Q1 2025.

Just 2 months ago, they saw GDP growing by +3.8% in the same period.

The revision was due to recent economic data which has shown a slowdown in spending.

Is the Atlanta Fed calling for a recession?
 

Just wait til we move completely away from the private Federal Reserve system!
 

 
Make NO mistake, things are getting serious and starting to break. Volatility will just increase for quite some time now I think.
 
lol... Vince deleted the tweet with the poll that I was replying to.
 
FINRA and the $EC and Neck deep in this shit. So if you think the regulators have even the slightest handle on this, know that they've been helping cloth the Emperor for a long time now. FINRA tried hiding the last set of CAT error data and eventually released it after many phone calls and threats.
 
Speculation that the CME raised margins on gold and silver to stem the capital rotation from the stock market:


Thread by @GraphCall on Thread Reader App

@GraphCall: 1/9 Precious Metals: It stinks more than you think, Let's stop & think for a minute. What was happening in markets? From Feb 21st the Nasdaq was already in trouble while the Precious Metals Gold and...…
threadreaderapp.com
 
Bitcoin has been highly (like >90%) correlated with stocks since October. The weekend trading action for Bitcoin can be a strong indicator where stocks are headed Sunday night/Monday...

 
We opened up down almost 5% and we are down pretty good right now. SPY would be around 487 right now I think. Silver flirted with $1 down but I want more there.

The nice thing here is that dealers are Actually following with prices for now. So you really can get the real stuff cheaper.
 
JUST IN: Japan's Nikkei 225 stock futures trading suspended due to circuit breaker.

@BRICSNews

JUST IN: Hang Seng China stock index crashes 9.1%

@BRICSNews
 
my attempt at charting.

looking at this the time to sell was early March when it broke through support



Looks as if the bottom is in... but it could continue further in these uncertain times.

 
I know stocks are down but its Bonds that are and must be the focus. And they've absolutely crashed the last 4 days. Yields waaaay UP. You can see how large those bars are compared to the others. Bonds are not supposed to move like this. It will also put EXTREME pressure on Banks, Insurance Cos, etc who hold bonds.

 
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