2025 Lunatic Fringe - Market and Trade Chat

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The CPI comes out in an hour or so. I fully expect them to try and hit PM's Hard again today. Someone sold a lot of BTC last night and almost immediately pumped the Nasdaq 150 pts or so. The CPI will probably be hot and they'll use that as a sell off. Of course, with the Nasdaq pump at 8 pm it'll just go back to flat.
 
Meh, I'd say that was pretty close. They managed to keep the Nasdaq up 0.5% by saying the rules for NVDIA have changed. Bonds are falling apart, again. That is key.
 
Voodoo said:
Meh, I'd say that was pretty close. They managed to keep the Nasdaq up 0.5% by saying the rules for NVDIA have changed. Bonds are falling apart, again. That is key.
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Bonds are full of heartbreak. Will it be the JGB or USTs that start the financual crisus?
 
pmbug said:
Gold and silver both down ever so slightly from yesterday's close in overnight trading in China. London/New York might be "racist" towards the metals, but China appear to be holding the line (and premiums over spot will ensure physical metal flows east if the west doesn't let price rise to match).

The SFE silver vault reports a modest outflow (into the SGE?).
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I suppose it could be stocks down. There was an old market thing where they tend to "Test" a new Fed chair. So it could be signaling they are ready to let the next bubble pop...?
 
Interesting prediction

Wall St Insiders Just Made A $1 Trillion “Michael Burry” Bet​

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Silver Breaks Out! - Peak Prosperity​

Silver surges past $39 per ounce, joined by oil, palladium, and copper gains, signaling inflation and a shifting global financial landscape favoring hard assets. Are you ready?
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Jim Rickards: Why Tariffs Work and the Lie They’ve Told for 50 Years​

Jim Rickards joins Daniela Cambone at the Rule Symposium in Boca Raton to dismantle the mainstream narrative on tariffs, trade, and the dollar's decline. In his most candid interview yet, Rickards reveals why Trump’s tariff strategy isn’t chaos — it’s a calculated economic war plan. With historical precedent on his side, he argues that tariffs aren’t inflationary — they’re a catalyst for domestic manufacturing, job growth, and a stronger U.S. economy.

Rickards explains how today’s dollar decline is no accident, but a Treasury-engineered repeat of the Nixon and Plaza Accords playbook — all part of the "Mar-a-Lago Accord" now quietly reshaping the global monetary order. He predicts $4,000 gold by year-end, with $10,000+ on the horizon, as America’s financial reset unfolds.

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Rickards makes you think

Jim Rickards: The Collapse That Will Change A Generation​

Jim Rickards is an American economist and financial commentator known for his deep expertise in currency markets and global finance. He frequently discusses economic trends and their implications for investors. His analyses often highlight the impact of geopolitical risks on financial systems. With extensive experience at major financial institutions, Rickards has become a widely recognized figure in economic forecasting.

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Mr. Slammy did his 8am routine, but it looks like his efforts were wasted as the dips didn't last long. Gold and silver looking a bit resilient at the moment.
 
FT said:
Donald Trump is preparing to open the $9tn US retirement market to cryptocurrency investments, gold, and private equity in a move that would spur a radical shift in the way Americans’ savings are managed.

Trump is expected to sign an executive order as soon as this week that would open up 401k plans to alternative investments beyond traditional stocks and bonds, according to three people who have been briefed on the president’s plans.

These investments would run a broad spectrum of asset classes, from digital assets to metals and funds focused on corporate takeovers, private loans and infrastructure deals.

The executive order would instruct Washington regulatory agencies to investigate the remaining hurdles needed to allow for such alternative investments to be included in professionally managed funds used by 401k savers, these people said.

“President Trump is committed to restoring prosperity for everyday Americans and safeguarding their economic future. No decisions should be deemed official, however, unless they come from President Trump himself,” the White House said in a statement to the Financial Times.
...
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https://www.ft.com/content/07906211-5ab8-4917-bcad-5397c0bc3170
 
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