2025 Lunatic Fringe - Market and Trade Chat

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^^^
I don't really need to update this chart for the red line:
global reserves with btc.webp
 
Either silver spot rises in London today, or LBMA metal drain is going to get worse...



 
I wonder what's causing this push these last couple of weeks..?

It's almost as if they don't have the powder to fight back....
 
It's not a secret that USTs are not wanted and QE infinity is right around the corner. In steps gold to the rescue. This is going on for the next few years until everything resets. It might be a year into Vance's first term before the new system is fully integrated.
 
Gold miners are starting to decouple slightly from spot price because earnings are improving. Some say they could be the next tech stocks.

GDX
GDXJ
GDXU
SLV
SLVR
SIL
SILJ
Yes!
 

The Biggest GOLD and SILVER Bull Market In History?! (Price Prediction)​

20
 
pmbug said:
Gold and silver both trade almost dead even with yesterday's close in overnight trading in China. The SFE silver vault reports a huge inflow. If the speculation that the recent blowout in EFP spread is due to tariff uncertainty in the USA (scaring actors from trying to ship metal from London to USA) is correct, I suppose it might encourage actors to ship (more?) metal to China given the ~5% premium over spot.

 
FWIW, ADP jobs report is shitty:
U.S. private sector hiring rose less than expected in August, data released Thursday shows, offering the latest indication of trouble in the labor market.

Private payrolls increased by just 54,000 in August, according to data from processing firm ADP published Thursday morning. That's below the consensus forecast of 75,000 from economists polled by Dow Jones and marks a significant slowdown from the revised gain of 106,000 seen in the prior month.
...
Jobs tied to trade, transportation and utilities saw particular weakness in August, with the group losing 17,000 roles on net, according to the ADP. Education and health services followed, recording a decline of 12,000 jobs.

But those losses were offset in part by a boom in the leisure and hospitality industry, which added 50,000 jobs in the month.
...
Thursday's ADP report adds to an already concerning picture of the labor market.

Jobless claims increased to 237,000, up 8,000 from the prior week and above estimates, per data also published Thursday morning. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey registered one of its worst levels for job openings in July since 2020, according to government figures released Wednesday.
...


This was on the local news last night:
U.S. oil and gas producer ConocoPhillips will cut 20-25% of its workforce as part of a broad restructuring, a company spokesperson said on Wednesday, after five sources told Reuters that CEO Ryan Lance detailed the plans in a morning video message.
...
The company has about 13,000 employees globally, meaning between 2,600 and 3,250 employees will be affected. Most of the cuts will be made before the end of the year, ConocoPhillips spokesperson Dennis Nuss said in an email.
...

 


~~~

I see silver spot at $41.23 this morning. Gold at $3,615. Strong start to the week...
 
Follow up to Aug 29 picture...
The Great Inversion is finally upon us. Get out while you still can. When the wealthiest top 0.00001% quietly unload their bags onto the 99.99% of retail sheep, it’s not a market, it’s a transfer. And it always marks the top.

Over the last week, 198 of the top 200 insider trades were sells. In two weeks, it was 398 of 400! The last time insider dumping hit this scale was the late 1920s, right before the Great Depression.

Unemployment is rising worldwide. Inflation is creeping back. The pressure is building exactly as it did a century ago. The worst damage will fall on stocks and crypto, both will easily to 80-90%+ of their value.

 
Retail hasn't really been buying, and therefore stock prices Should have declined as the Insiders get out. But we have prices that are nearly completely controlled, allowing them to get out mostly unnoticed.
 
Retail hasn't really been buying, and therefore stock prices Should have declined as the Insiders get out. But we have prices that are nearly completely controlled, allowing them to get out mostly unnoticed.
Passive investing. 401Ks, pension funds, etc. Those keep on investing.
 

Falling Asleep at the Wheel-American Investors Fully Invested While Many Corporate Insiders Remove their Capital From the Market

September 13, 2025
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more
 

Beginning of Panic Rate Cut Cycle – Ed Dowd​

 
I don't know if this is legit or how significant a player Questrade is, but it seems like another red flag to me...

 
listen at 1.5x
45K! I haven't been watching the market! Last I heard it was at 35K!

Monday Sept 15, 2025 Stockmarket repport. Stocks and Gold at Record Levels. FOMC Rate Cut Expected.​

Dow Jones Smashes Through , Barrier for First Time in History
• The blue-chip index crossed this psychological milestone in just trading days, marking another chapter in the longest bull run since the recovery.
• This breakthrough comes despite mixed economic signals, showing how corporate earnings and AI optimism continue to drive investor confidence.
• The milestone coincides with Trump's claims of the "strongest stock market ever" aspolitical rhetoric heats up around Fed policy.

Gold Hits All-Time Highs as Investors Brace for Fed Rate Cuts
• Spot gold reached $, per ounce, surpassing even inflation-adjusted records from , as dollar weakness and inflation hedging drive demand.
• The precious metal's surge reflects growing uncertainty about the Fed's ability to control inflation while supporting economic growth.
• JPMorgan expects gold to average $, in Q and climb toward $, by mid-
, signaling institutional confidence in the rally.
15
 
I don't know if this is legit or how significant a player Questrade is, but it seems like another red flag to me...



Because they ALL know that Gamestop is going to collapse the whole god damn fraud scheme's. And Questrade is likely just another POS broker that sells things and doesn't ever have any real stock.
 
lol @ 6.7% CME margin raise on gold. Someone might need to do a welfare check on Mr. Slammy.
 
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