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Gold swaps by the Bank for International Settlements rose markedly in May, according to the bank's monthly account statement, published this week:
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The bank’s gold swaps are estimated to be 188 tonnes as of May 31, a 39% increase over the 135 tonnes reported as of April 30. As shown in Table B below, recent months have brought much volatility in the level of swaps.
Evidence of the significant trading carried out via BIS gold swaps is provided by the changes in the monthly volumes of swaps since October 2022. At that time there were an estimated 7 tonnes of swaps outstanding, but this increased to 105 tonnes at November 30 and then fell back to none at December 31.
Significant changes and continued this year, with 103 tonnes of gold swaps estimated as of January 31, followed by 136 tonnes as of February 28, 78 tonnes as of March 31, 135 tonnes as of April 30, and 188 tonnes as of May 31.
Once again it seems reasonable to suspect that the BIS has entered these swaps on behalf of the U.S. Federal Reserve. With the new deal on the U.S. federal government debt ceiling causing political turmoil in May, a rising gold price probably would have been unwelcome by U.S. authorities.
The basic transaction that the BIS undertakes with gold swaps is to exchange dollars for gold from a bullion bank and then deposit the gold in a gold sight account at a central bank, almost certainly being the central bank that is using the BIS to execute the gold swap on its behalf.
Given the recent volatility in the level of BIS gold swaps, it seems likely that the swaps are mainly of a short duration. Why a central bank would need the BIS to undertake these gold swaps isn't clear, but the swaps may be linked to short-term trading needs. This trading could aim to suppress the gold price.
Using the May 31 gold price of $1,966 (per USAGold.com), the 188 tonnes of BIS gold swaps as of May 31 are valued at about $11.9 billion. Hence it is evident that the recent volatility in BIS gold swaps involves high value and shows that gold remains a significant monetary asset.
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From information in the BIS' August 31 statement of account, published this week -- ... -- it is estimated that the volume of the bank's gold swaps increased 26 tonnes, from 103 to 129 tonnes, in the month ending July 31.
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Trading in gold swaps by the Bank for International Settlements, the central bank of the central banks, continued in October. From information in the BIS statement of account for the month, published this week —
-- it is estimated that the volume of the bank's gold swaps decreased by 28 tonnes, from 96 to 68 tonnes.
The BIS' gold swaps had fallen to zero as of December 31, 2022, and reached a peak for 2023 so far of 188 tonnes as of May 31.
There seems no reason to alter the assumption that the BIS has entered these swaps on behalf of the U.S. Federal Reserve. There is no evidence to suggest that any other major central bank is actively trading this much gold, and many central banks have been openly accumulating physical gold.
The basic transaction that the BIS is believed to undertake is to swap dollars for gold from a bullion bank, then to deposit this gold in a gold sight account at a central bank, presumed to be the Fed but almost certainly being the central bank that is using the BIS to execute the gold swap on its behalf.
Given the recent volatility in the levels of BIS gold swaps, it seems likely that most are of a short duration. Why a central bank needs the BIS to undertake gold swaps isn't clear, but the swaps are likely connected with short-term trading needs, which could include suppressing the gold price.
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Japan's state pension fund, the world's largest, is seeking information on bitcoin (BTC) as it considers options for portfolio diversification in response to changes in society, the economy and technology.
The Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF), which has $1.4 trillion in assets under management, requested data on potential investment diversification tools such as bitcoin and precious metals like gold, which the company considers illiquid and does not currently hold, it said Tuesday.
For the time being, GPIF invests in domestic bonds, domestic stocks, foreign bonds, foreign stocks, private equity, real estate and infrastructure. While the pension fund is seeking information about bitcoin, there's no guarantee it will choose to invest in the world's largest cryptocurrency once the evaluation is completed.
The fund is seeking basic information, including academic studies, analytical tools and indexes "including investment examples, investment philosophy, how to incorporate into the portfolio of pension funds," it said.
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We request information on the mechanism through which a global low yield environment is created and entrenched.(e.g., basic information on forests, farmland, gold, crypto-assets (bitcoin etc.) of investment examples, investment philosophy, how to incorporate into the portfolio of pension funds)
- Basic information on illiquidity assets, including infrastructure, real estate and private equity. (information on market environment, market size, trading volume, types of investments, and academic findings and papers)
- Measurement methods for illiquid assets, including infrastructure, real estate and private equity. (measurement methods related to expected return, risk, performance assessment, and ESG assessment)
- Basic information on illiquidity assets other than those currently considered by the corporation as assets under management (GPIF currently invests on domestic bonds, domestic stocks, foreign bonds, foreign stocks, real estate, infrastructure, private equity)
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They are asking information... to whom?
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