Gold Market 260603

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Jun 3 Gold Market Morning Snapshot​


๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SFE Futures $4,489.00
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SGE Spot $4,472.09 (~$15๐Ÿ”ผ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot)
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ COMEX Jun26 Futures $4,462.90 ($1.31๐Ÿ”ผ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot @ last quote)
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot $4,457.35
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ IBJA PM Spot $4,283.91 (~$174๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot๐Ÿ‘€)
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ MCX Futures $4,258.10

Quotes๐Ÿšซtaxes/duties

LBMA Spot ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง


Gold opened yesterday above $4,520, closed ~$4480 and has fallen to ~$4,440 this morning.
gold spot 260603.png

EFP Spreads (ET)​


Spot price @ 06:52 : $4,457.35

Jun26 = +$1.31 vs -$1.81 Previously (spot @ 06:14 : $4,461.59)
Jul26 = +$11.11 vs +$12.26 (spot @ 06:48 : $4,455.99)
Aug26 = +$30.25 vs +$28.49
gold futures 6-3-26.webp

EFP Commentary​


Jun26 EFP spread slips from slightly negative to slightly positive. Jul & Aug spreads hold more or less steady.

India ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ


MCX Jun26 [GOLD 1kg] : $5,009.53 (less 15% BCD+AISD = $4,258.10)
IBJA PM spot : $5,039.89 (less 15% BCD+AISD = $4,283.91)

China ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ


SGE $4,472.09๐Ÿ”ป(no VAT)
SFE $4,489.00๐Ÿ”ป

SGE premium to LBMA spot = ~$15 (๐Ÿ”ผfrom ~$6)
SFE premium to SGE = $16.91 (๐Ÿ”ผfrom $16.56)


~~~

Jun 3 Gold Vaults (ozt)​


GLD๐Ÿ”ป110K
COMEX๐Ÿ”ผ30K

COMEX withdrawals are ~9% of Jun26 delivery requests
COMEX 5 DMA run rate 1,815d๐Ÿ”ผ

COMEX 6-1​


๐Ÿ”ผ32K ozt (1t) in MT&B

๐Ÿ”ป2K ozt (0.07t) from Loomis (2K), MT&B (96)

206K ozt (6.4t) moved from [R] to [E] in Brinks (62K), HSBC (83K), JPM (35K), Loomis (5K), MT&B (21K)

COMEX Run Rate​


Remaining Vault Stock = 28.3M ozt (15.3M [R], 13M [E])

Net withdraw rate through last 5 days = 16K/day๐Ÿ”ป

Total vault stock run rate = 28.3M / 16K = ~1,815 (working) days๐Ÿ”ผ(~91 months)

COMEX Jun26​


Jun26 contract cumulative deliveries = 25,345
Jun26 contract equivalent ozt = 2,534,500
Actual withdrawals in Jun ozt = 2,186.27

Jun withdrawals are now ~9% of Jun26 delivery requests.

COMEX Commentary​


Monday's 30K ozt net deposit replaces a 280K net withdrawal in the 5 DMA window so the withdraw rate shrunk greatly.

GLD Assets​


World Gold Trust Services:๐Ÿ”ป300K shares
JPM:๐Ÿ”ป9K ozt (0.3t)
HSBC:๐Ÿšซozt
ozt/shares ratio 0.091912๐Ÿ”ผ from 0.091861

I just started watching this closely a little over a week ago. So far, all vault movement occurs in JPM's London vault. Gold held in JPM's NYC vault and HSBC's London vault hold steady.

~~~

Previous report: https://www.pmbug.com/threads/gold-market-260602.8985/
 
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