Gold Market 260605

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Jun 5 Gold Market Morning Snapshot​


๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SGE Spot $4,482.20 (~$17๐Ÿ”ผ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot๐Ÿ”ฅ)
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SFE Futures $4,481.56
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot $4,466.17
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ COMEX Jun26 Futures $4,461.90 ($4.58๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot @ last quote)
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ MCX Futures $4,290.35
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ IBJA PM Spot $4,289.65 (~$177๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot๐Ÿ‘€)

Quotes๐Ÿšซtaxes/duties

LBMA Spot ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง


Yesterday gold opened ~$4,500, closed ~$4,480, fell over night and has recoverde to ~$4,460 this morning.
gold spot 260605.png

EFP Spreads (ET)​


Spot price @ 06:56 : $4,466.17

Jun26 = -$4.58 vs -$4.68 Previously (spot @ 03:28 : $4,466.48)
Jul26 = +$10.46 vs +$10.92 (spot @ 06:52 : $4,466.74)
Aug26 = +$27.33 vs +$30.97
gold futures 6-5-26.webp

EFP Commentary​


Jun26 EFP spread holds negative (arbitrage opportunity to send gold to London/LBMA?).

India ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ


MCX Jun26 [GOLD 1kg] : $5,047.47 (less 15% BCD+AISD = $4,290.35)
IBJA PM spot : $5,046.65 (less 15% BCD+AISD = $4,289.65)

China ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ


SGE $4,482.20๐Ÿ”ผ(no VAT)
SFE $4,481.56๐Ÿ”ผ

SGE premium to LBMA spot = ~$16.60 (๐Ÿ”ผfrom ~$10)
SFE "premium" to SGE = -$0.64 (๐Ÿ”ปfrom $16.73)๐Ÿ”ฅ


~~~

Jun 5 Gold Vaults (ozt)​


GLD๐Ÿ”ป36K
COMEX๐Ÿ”ป99K

COMEX withdrawals are currently ~3.7% of Jun26 delivery requests
COMEX 5 DMA run rate 2,611d (๐Ÿ”ผfrom 1,771d)

COMEX 6-3​


๐Ÿ”ผ1K ozt (0.04t) in Loomis

๐Ÿ”ป101K ozt (3.1t) from Brinks (0.3K), HSBC (66K), StoneX (34K)

1.6K ozt (0.05t) moved from [R] to [E] in Loomis

COMEX Run Rate​


Remaining Vault Stock = 28.2M ozt (15.3M [R], 12.9M [E])

Net withdraw rate through last 5 days = 11K/day(๐Ÿ”ปfrom 16K/day)

Total vault stock run rate = 28.2M / 11K = ~2,611 (working) days๐Ÿ”ผ(~131 months)

COMEX Jun26​


Jun26 contract cumulative deliveries = 27,928
Jun26 contract equivalent ozt = 2,792,800
Actual withdrawals in Jun ozt = 103,371.25

Jun withdrawals are now ~3.7% of Jun26 delivery requests.

COMEX Commentary​


Wednesday's 99K ozt net withdrawal replaces a slightly larger 125K net withdrawal in the 5 DMA window so the withdraw rate shrunk slightly.

GLD Assets​


World Gold Trust Services:๐Ÿ”ป600K shares
JPM:๐Ÿ”ป36K ozt (1.1t)
HSBC:๐Ÿšซozt
ozt/shares ratio 0.091990 (๐Ÿ”ผfrom 0.091938)

GLD is nothing but outflows for at least seven days in a row now.

~~~

Previous report: https://www.pmbug.com/threads/gold-market-260604.8992/
 
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