Gold Market 260618

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Jun 18 Gold Market Morning Snapshot​


๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SFE Futures ? (No report from Bai this morning)
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SGE Spot ? (No report from Bai this morning)
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot $4,262.57
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ COMEX Jun26 Futures $4,295.90 ($5.33๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot @ last quote)
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ MCX Futures $4,203.75
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ IBJA Spot $4,147.54 (~$115๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot)๐Ÿ‘€

Quotes๐Ÿšซtaxes/duties

LBMA Spot ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง


Yesterday gold opened ~$4,330 and after some FOMC volatility, closed ~$4,250, climbed to ~$4,320 over night and drifted back down to ~$4,260 this morning.
gold spot 260618.png

EFP Spreads (ET)​


Spot price @ 06:48 : $4,262.57

Jun26 = -$5.33 vs -$4.38 Previously (spot @ 02:08 : $4,301.23)
Jul26 = +$5.03 vs +$3.33 (spot @ 06:32 : $4,264.97)
Aug26 = +$21.63 vs +$19.65
gold futures 6-18-26.webp

EFP Commentary​


Jun26 EFP spread moves ~$1 more negative as Jul & Aug spreads expand slightly. Looks like the COMEX gold stock bleeding should continue.

India ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ


MCX Aug26 [GOLD 1kg] : $4,945.59 (less 15% BCD+AISD = $4,203.75)
IBJA PM spot : $4,879.46 (less 15% BCD+AISD = $4,147.54)

China ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ


No report from Bai this morning.

~~~

Jun 18 Gold Vaults (ozt)​


GLD๐Ÿšซ
COMEX๐Ÿ”ป3K๐Ÿ‘€

COMEX withdrawals are currently ~15.4% of Jun26 delivery requests
COMEX 5 DMA run rate 963d (๐Ÿ”ผfrom 383d)๐Ÿ‘€

COMEX 6-16​


๐Ÿ”ผ๐Ÿšซozt

๐Ÿ”ป3K ozt (0.1t) from Brinks

193K ozt (6t) moved from [R] to [E] in Asahi (60K), Brinks (133K)

COMEX Run Rate​


Remaining Vault Stock = 28M ozt (15.2M [R], 12.7M [E])

Net withdraw rate through last 5 days = 29K/day(๐Ÿ”ปfrom 73K/day)

Total vault stock run rate = 28M / 29K = ~963 (working) days (~48 months) (๐Ÿ”ผfrom 383d)

COMEX Jun26​


Jun26 contract cumulative deliveries = 36,590
Jun26 contract equivalent ozt = 3,659,000
Actual withdrawals in Jun ozt = 563,042.27

Jun withdrawals are now ~15.4% of Jun26 delivery requests.

COMEX Commentary​


Tuesday's tiny 3K net withdrawal replaces a huge 223K net withdrawal in the 5 DMA window so the withdraw rate shrunk significantly.

GLD Assets​


World Gold Trust Services:๐Ÿ”ผ300K shares
JPM:๐Ÿšซozt
HSBC:๐Ÿšซozt
ozt/shares ratio 0.091725 (๐Ÿ”ปfrom 0.091803)

~~~

Previous report: https://www.pmbug.com/threads/gold-market-260617.9036/
 
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