Gold Market 260624

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Jun 24 Gold Market Morning Snapshot​


๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SFE Futures $4,098.51
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SGE Spot $4,087.95 ($6๐Ÿ”ผ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot @ 03:30)๐Ÿ‘€
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot $4,055.61
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ COMEX Jun26 Futures $4,058.90 ($2.76๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot @ last quote)
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ MCX Futures $4,011.70
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ IBJA Spot $3,973.89 (~$82๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot @ 07:00)๐Ÿ‘€

Quotes๐Ÿšซtaxes/duties

LBMA Spot ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง


Yesterday gold opened ~$4,130 and closed ~$4,110, fell over night and is ~$4,050 this morning.
gold spot 260624.webp

EFP Spreads (ET)​


Spot price @ 07:02 : $4,055.61

Jun26 = -$2.76 vs -$4.04 Previously (spot @ 06:10 : $4,061.76)
Jul26 = +$2.34 vs -$1.94 (spot @ 06:54 : $4,055.96)
Aug26 = +$19.39 vs +$19.74
gold futures 6-24-26.webp

EFP Commentary​


Jun26 EFP spread holds negative as Jul spread flips back to positive.

India ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ


MCX Aug26 [GOLD 1kg] : $4,719.65 (less 15% BCD+AISD = $4,011.70)
IBJA PM spot : $4,675.16 (less 15% BCD+AISD = $3,973.89)

China ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ


SGE $4,087.95๐Ÿ”ป(no VAT)
SFE $4,098.51๐Ÿ”ป

SGE premium to LBMA spot = $6
SFE premium to SGE = $10.56


~~~

Jun 24 Gold Vaults (ozt)​


GLD๐Ÿ”ผ55K
COMEX๐Ÿ”ป106K๐Ÿ‘€

COMEX withdrawals are currently ~17.8% of Jun26 delivery requests
COMEX 5 DMA run rate 2,085d (๐Ÿ”ปfrom 5,496d)๐Ÿ‘€

COMEX 6-22​


๐Ÿ”ผ1K ozt (0.04t) in Delaware [R]

๐Ÿ”ป107K ozt (3.3t) from JPM

๐Ÿšซozt moved between [R] and [E]

COMEX Run Rate​


Remaining Vault Stock = 27.9M ozt (15M [R], 12.9M [E])

Net withdraw rate through last 5 days = 13K/day (๐Ÿ”ผfrom 5K/day)

Total vault stock run rate = 27.9M / 13K = ~2,085 (working) days (~104 months) (๐Ÿ”ปfrom 5,496d)

COMEX Jun26​


Jun26 contract cumulative deliveries = 38,352
Jun26 contract equivalent ozt = 3,835,200
Actual withdrawals in Jun ozt = 681,036.44

Jun withdrawals are now ~17.8% of Jun26 delivery requests.

COMEX Commentary​


Monday's 106K ozt net withdrawal replaces a 64K ozt net withdrawal in the 5 DMA window so the withdraw rate grew a little bit nominally (while more than doubling proportionately since it was already so low).

GLD Assets​


World Gold Trust Services:๐Ÿ”ป1.6M shares
JPM:๐Ÿ”ผ55K ozt (1.7t)
HSBC:๐Ÿšซozt
ozt/shares ratio 0.092215 (๐Ÿ”ผfrom 0.091650)

~~~

Previous report: https://www.pmbug.com/threads/gold-market-260623.9048/
 
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