Gold Market 260701

Welcome to the Precious Metals Bug Forums

Welcome to the PMBug forums - a watering hole for folks interested in gold, silver, precious metals, sound money, investing, market and economic news, central bank monetary policies, politics and more.

Why not register an account and join the discussions? When you register an account and log in, you may enjoy additional benefits including no Google ads, market data/charts, access to trade/barter with the community and much more. Registering an account is free - you have nothing to lose!

pmbug

Your Host
Administrator
Benefactor
Messages
20,965
Reaction score
8,749
Points
268
Location
Texas
United-States

Jul 1 Gold Market Morning Snapshot​


๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ MCX Futures $4,063.77
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ IBJA Spot $4,024.64 (~$31๐Ÿ”ผ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot)๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SFE Futures $3,978.58
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SGE Spot $3,967.97 ($3.50๐Ÿ”ผ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot @ 03:30)๐Ÿ‘€
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot $3,993.23
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ COMEX Jul26 Futures $3,974.60 ($2.06๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot @ last quote)

Quotes๐Ÿšซtaxes/duties

LBMA Spot ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง


Yesterday gold opened under $4,040, closed ~$4,006, fell to ~$3,960 over night and climbed back to ~$4,012 this morning.
gold spot 260701.webp

EFP Spreads (ET)​


Spot price @ 06:50 : $3,993.23

Jul26 = -$2.06 vs -$14.76 Previously (spot @ 04:40 : $3,976.66)
Aug26 = +$11.37 vs +$5.74
Sep26 = +$27.42 vs +$17.34 (spot @ 06:34 : $3,989.88)
gold futures 7-1-26.webp

EFP Commentary​


Jul26 EFP spread contracts, but remains negative. Will gold flow from the COMEX to London (LBMA)?

India ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ


MCX Aug26 [GOLD 1kg] : $4,673.34 (less 15% BCD+AISD = $4,063.77)
IBJA PM spot : $4,628.34 (less 15% BCD+AISD = $4,024.64)

China ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ


SGE $3,967.97๐Ÿ”ป(no VAT)
SFE $3,978.58๐Ÿ”ป

SGE premium to LBMA spot = +$3.50 (@ 03:30 ET)
SFE premium to SGE = $10.61


~~~

Jul 1 Gold Vaults (ozt)​


GLD๐Ÿ”ป64K
COMEX๐Ÿ”ป117K๐Ÿ”ฅ

COMEX withdrawals are currently ~25.4% of Jun26 delivery requests
COMEX 5 DMA run rate 426d (๐Ÿ”ปfrom 444d)๐Ÿ”ฅ

COMEX 6-29​


๐Ÿ”ผ32K ozt (1t) in Asahi [R]

๐Ÿ”ป149K ozt (4.6t) from Brinks (133K), Loomis (16K)

8K ozt (0.2t) moved from [E] to [R] in Brinks

COMEX Run Rate​


Remaining Vault Stock = 27.6M ozt (14.8M [R], 12.7M [E])

Net withdraw rate through last 5 days = 65K/day (๐Ÿ”ผfrom 62K/day)

Total vault stock run rate = 27.6M / 65K = ~426 (working) days (~21.3 months) (๐Ÿ”ปfrom 444d)

COMEX Jun26​


Jun26 contract cumulative deliveries = 40,841
Jun26 contract equivalent ozt = 4,084,100
Actual withdrawals in Jun ozt = 1,035,856.94

Jun withdrawals are now ~25.4% of Jun26 delivery requests.

COMEX Commentary​


Monday's 117K ozt net withdrawal replaces a 106K ozt net withdrawal in the 5 DMA window so the withdraw rate grew slightly.

GLD Assets​


World Gold Trust Services:๐Ÿšซshares
JPM:๐Ÿ”ป64K ozt (2t)
HSBC:๐Ÿšซozt
ozt/shares ratio 0.091803 (๐Ÿ”ปfrom 0.091986)

~~~

Previous report: https://www.pmbug.com/threads/gold-market-260630.9074/
 
Back
Top Bottom