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A new law in California will raise the minimum wage for fast food workers to $20 per hour next year, an acknowledgment from the state's Democratic leaders that most of the often overlooked workforce are the primary earners for their low-income households.
When it takes effect on April 1, fast food workers in California will have the highest guaranteed base salary in the industry. The state’s minimum wage for all other workers — $15.50 per hour — is already among the highest in the United States.
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Last summer, a paper on the effects of Seattle's minimum-wage increase made national headlines with its conclusion: The change made low-income workers worse off, not better, because it forced employers to cut back on hiring and hours to afford paying higher wages.
Although the finding contradicted years of research showing that the minimum wage had little to no effect on hiring practices, the paper was widely read and generally well regarded because of its reliance on high-quality data and convincing methods. David Autor, an economist at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology who was not involved in the research, told The Washington Post at the time that the study was “very credible” and “sufficiently compelling in its design and statistical power that it can change minds.”
A little more than six months later, and minds have indeed been changed — among them Autor's. He now says that other recent minimum-wage papers have underscored the limitations of the Seattle study.
Chief among those newer papers is a large analysis of the effects of minimum-wage increases that have occurred since 1979. That paper, co-written by Arindrajit Dube of the University of Massachusetts, was recently presented at the American Economic Association's annual conference.
Dube's paper is more in line with conventional economic thinking: On average, minimum-wage increases eliminated jobs paying below the new minimum, but added jobs paying at or above the new minimum. The two changes effectively cancel each other out.
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... But the University of Washington's Jacob Vigdor, who co-wrote the Seattle study, says the two findings are not necessarily contradictory.
Seattle's minimum-wage increase, Vigdor says, was a lot steeper than most other increases have been. Minimum wages at large businesses and franchises rose by $3.53, or more than 37 percent, over just nine months. Out of the 137 minimum-wage increases included in the Dube et al. paper, by contrast, that average increase was 10 percent.
It may be the case that “small increases to hourly rates of $11 or less seem to be okay, but a rapid increase to $13 causes more problems,” Vigdor said in an interview. “Our study only raises concerns about an increase from $11 to [as high as] $13 an hour, implemented nine months after a prior increase from $9.47.”
There may be another factor lurking behind the apparently contradictory findings: Neither paper has gone all the way through peer review and been published in an academic journal.
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"The economic literature on minimum wage increases has become murkier in recent years, but the overwhelming majority of economists agree that large minimum wage increases in excess of productivity gains means that employers will operate at a loss as far as the affected workers go," wrote Michael D. Tanner, a senior fellow at the Cato Institute following the passage of the FAST act. "Given that the average profit margin in the fast food industry is just 6–9 percent, those costs are almost certain to be passed along in terms of higher prices or lost jobs."
Another side effect of California's new minimum wage law could be the acceleration in fast food companies' turn towards automation in an attempt to save on labor costs.
"Over the last few years, many Americans, myself included, have been to McDonald's and used touch screens to place our own orders instead of interacting with cashiers," wrote Brad Polumbo in the Washington Examiner this week. "Well, the more arbitrarily expensive you make human labor, the more companies are incentivized to hurry up and embrace automation."
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When Gov. Gavin Newsom signed a law that set a first-in-the-nation minimum wage for healthcare workers, three words in a bill analysis foretold potential concerns about its cost: “Fiscal impact unknown.”
Now, three weeks after Newsom signed SB 525 into law — giving medical employees at least $25 an hour, including support staff such as cleaners and security guards — his administration has an estimated price tag: $4 billion in the 2024-25 fiscal year alone.
Half of that will come directly from the state’s general fund, while the other half will be paid for by federal funds designated for providers of Medi-Cal, California’s Medicaid program, according to Newsom’s Department of Finance.
SB 525 is one of the most expensive laws California has seen in years and comes as the state faces a $14-billion budget deficit that could grow larger if revenue projections continue to fall short. ...
Let the clueless, feckless and useless vote, and you wind up with Comrade Hairdo running things.
Stipulate either a minimum-tax liability as part of voter qualification; or stipulate that only owners of real property (with a baseline value) may register.It isn't a bad idea, how would one weed out these people from the electoral process?
Stipulate either a minimum-tax liability as part of voter qualification; or stipulate that only owners of real property (with a baseline value) may register.
Manner of viewing it.That's just it, no one owns property, they possess a title to it.
And they'll still not be able to remember to give ya bbq dipping sauce with your chicken nugget order.Roughly a 33% increase.
We're waaay past any hope of that. lolThis is why it's important to have substantial people in government
Get rid of elections and do all public offices via a system similar to that of jury duty.It isn't a bad idea, how would one weed out these people from the electoral process?
And it would take them a day and a half to figure a way to jigger the system.Get rid of elections and do all public offices via a system similar to that of jury duty.
For example, one day you arrive home to find a summons that says you are the new State Senator for the next six years, and to report to your State capitol.
All selections would be drawn randomly from the list of people with an ID, drivers license, or utilities in their name.
No getting out of it.
But just know this: It has NOTHING to do with LEGALIZED POT.And they'll still not be able to remember to give ya bbq dipping sauce with your chicken nugget order.
McDonald's and Chipotle Mexican Grill executives said they will raise their menu prices next year in California to off-set the minimum wage increase for fast food workers. ...
On January 1st, 22 states and 38 cities and counties raised their minimum wages, sparking some celebration for 10 million workers who get a pay hike, and many doubts for the rest.
While this is perhaps a well-intentioned policy, intentions don’t indicate a policy’s effectiveness. Many economists argue that this decision will disadvantage the people it aims to help, namely, lower-skilled workers.
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yeah, federal minimum wage is fucking stupid.California slaps a new minimum wage on fast food and fast food slaps back
California just made labor in fast food more expensive without adding any value. Meaning, it is welfare imposed on the free market and someone is going to pick up the tab.
It won’t be government.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/california-slaps-minimum-wage-fast-182452872.html
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