Ya know what scares me in all this? The volatility. That a place that's affordable now, can be ridiculously overpriced in a couple of years.
Or that a place overpriced a few years back, is now in pricing freefall.
That makes planning impossible.
Example: I moved to Montana twelve years ago. I was pleasantly surprised to find rents about 20-percent below what I'd seen in Cleveland and Indianapolis. Less than I paid in Eau Claire, just prior. (Buying wasn't an option at that point in my life).
Great. I'm likin' it. Except, the hoardes marching over the mountains, coming to invade, caused rents and home prices to quadruple in those twelve years.
Florida. I was down to the Orlando area (Kissimmee) in early 2022. The RV park I was at was downright cheap - and beautiful, with a friendly clientele of regular snowbirds. Hey, I'm gonna like wintering here...
Except the very next season, their monthly rates DOUBLED. From $750/month, to $1400. That put it far out of my budget.
So. Now, Florida rents are falling. What, people are gonna again move down there, and then, as NYC collapses, AGAIN be priced out of shelter? And, the DeSantis government is not forever. We forget, it was a short 25 years ago, when Jebster Shrub was Goobernor. And then, who? Charlie Crist (I always read the name, "christ", as in, oh, Christ..)?
To say nothing of their local-government problem. And HOAs-Gone-Wild.
AND, Gotham, to the north, is about to have another explosive-vomiting session, barfing out populations as a Moslem Communist with zero real-world-life experience, gets ready to relearn what has been tried dozens of times in the past.
So...no...I'll not go to Florida at this point. I'd love to winter there. I'd love to win the Lotto, too - but it ain't happening.