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I have also long thought that we still have a way to go before the US housing market bottoms, despite some pockets of localized recovery.
Additionally, despite the mid 2000's US housing bubble, there are housing bubbles in many other countries waiting to pop:
http://www.stock-market-crash.net/housing-bubble/
Additionally, despite the mid 2000's US housing bubble, there are housing bubbles in many other countries waiting to pop:
http://www.stock-market-crash.net/housing-bubble/
Real Estate Recovery Is Only a Mirage
By: Rick Ackerman, Rick's Picks
-- Posted Thursday, 21 June 2012
http://news.goldseek.com/RickAckerman/1340283600.php
As the Great Recession drags on, albeit without official sanction, each and every silver cloud of economic news continues to harbor a dark lining. Most recently, amidst the mainstream media’s hubris over a supposedly stabilizing housing market, we read yesterday in the Denver Post that the region is bracing for yet another painful round of foreclosures. “Despite reports of a thawing housing market,” the paper noted in a front-page article, “yet another wave of foreclosure appears to be looming.” The fact that lenders are gearing up for this is apparent in the sharp spike in deed-of-trust assignments in Colorado. Compared to 2011, they’ve more than doubled in the first five months of this year. Deeds of trust convey ownership rights of mortgages and the ability to foreclose on them, and they are therefore a reliable indicator of foreclosure activity to come. According to the Post, if only half of the filings become actual foreclosure cases, foreclosures could spike to 2007’s crisis levels.
We have long predicted that home prices would eventually fall by at least 70% as debt deflation ran its course globally. This would imply that, despite the unprecedented drop in residential real estate values since 2007, residential values in the U.S. are only halfway to a bottom. .......
....And that is why a wave of foreclosures here would be bad news for other cities whose economies have been merely muddling along. Despite this, the mainstream media have taken an activist role in promoting the illusion of a housing recovery. A front-page story in the Wall Street Journal yesterday offered statistics from Zillow to support a picture of spotty recovery in real estate prices across the U.S. But guess which city was near the top of the list, with home values rising over the previous three months in more than 90% of zip code neighborhoods? Answer: Denver. Considering what was being reported in the Denver Post on the same day (see above), we should take the Wall Street Journal’s good news with a grain of salt. As Denver goes, so goes the nation? It’s a possibility worth considering as the mainstream media continues to obsess over a recovery that isn’t, –and never was.
All Contents © 2011, Rick Ackerman. All Rights Reserved.www.rickackerman.com