Silver Market 260525

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pmbug

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May 25 AM Silver Market​


๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SFE Futures $87.14
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SGE Spot $86.84 (~$9๐Ÿ”ผ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot๐Ÿ”ฅ)
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ IBJA PM Spot $79.70 (~$1.50๐Ÿ”ผ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot๐Ÿ”ฅ)
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot $78.22
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ COMEX May26 Futures $76.04 (May 22 ~2pm - EFP spread -$0.28)
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ MCX Futures $76.80 (~$3๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ IBJA PM Spot๐Ÿ”ฅ)

LBMA Spot ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง


Last night silver popped from ~$75.50 to just under $79, fell back to ~$77.50 and has drifted back above $78 this morning.
spot 5-25-26.gif

EFP Spreads (ET)​


Spot price @ 06:34 : $78.22

May26 = -$0.28 vs $0 Previously (spot @ 14:00 May 22 : $76.32)
Jun26 = +$0.05 vs +$0.12 (spot @ 06:26 : $78.20)
Jul26 = +$0.30 vs +$0.33
futures 5-25-26.webp

EFP Commentary​


May26 EFP spread was firmly negative at its last quote. Jun26 EFP spread tightens as we approach first notice day. It looks like the COMEX to LBMA faucet is open again.

India ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ


MMTC-PAMP (retail) : $96.37 (less 18.45% taxes (IGST*(BCD+AIDC)) = $78.59)
MCX Jun26 [SILVERM 5kg] : $91.65 (less 16.2% BCD+AISD+Cess taxes = $76.80)
MCX Jul26 [SILVER 30kg] : $90.40
IBJA PM spot : $88.55 (less 10% BCD duty = $79.70)

MMTP-PAMP (retail proxy) and MCX futures are less than IBJA spot when adjusting for import duties and taxes.

China ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ


SGE $86.84๐Ÿ”ผ(no VAT)
SFE $87.14๐Ÿ”ผ

SGE premium to LBMA spot = ~$9๐Ÿ”ฅ
SFE premium to SGE = $0.30


๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SFE Run Rate​


๐Ÿ”ผ34K ozt (1.1t)
Remaining Vault Stock = 31,760,150 ozt

"Withdraw" rate through last 5 days = 69K/day๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ‘€ deposit!

Run rate = ๐Ÿšซ

SFE's 5 DMA deposit rate has plummeted to almost zero. Two more days of withdrawals should see it flip back to a net withdrawal rate.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SGE Run Rate​


๐Ÿ”ผ2.9M ozt (91.3t)
Remaining Vault Stock = 26,841,210 ozt

"Withdraw" rate through last 5 weeks = 2.5M/week๐Ÿ”ผ deposit!

Run rate = ๐Ÿšซ

~~~

Previous report: https://www.pmbug.com/threads/silver-market-260523.8948/
 
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