Silver Market 260608

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pmbug

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Jun 8 Silver Market Morning Snapshot​


๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SFE Futures $74.23
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SGE Spot $74.21 (~$7๐Ÿ”ผ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot๐Ÿ”ฅ)
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ MCX Futures $69.60
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ COMEX Jun26 Futures $67.18 ($0.06๐Ÿ”ผ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot @ last quote)
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot $68.06
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ IBJA PM Spot $67.62 (~$0.40๐Ÿ”ป๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง LBMA Spot๐Ÿ‘€)

Quotes๐Ÿšซtaxes/duties

SFE 5 DMA run rate๐Ÿšซ

LBMA Spot ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง


Last night silver crashed to ~$66, and has recovered to ~$68 this morning.
silver spot 260608.png

EFP Spreads (ET)​


Spot price @ 07:24 : $68.06

Jun26 = +$0.06 vs -$0.04 Previously (spot @ 05:20 : $67.12)
Jul26 = +$0.17 vs +$0.16
Aug26 = +$0.42 vs +$0.37
futures 6-8-26.webp

EFP Commentary​


Jun26 EFP spread turns slightly positive. There is no arbitrage profit for sending COMEX silver to London/LBMA. Jul & Aug spreads stay in their lanes.

India ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ


MMTC-PAMP (retail) : $86.22 (less 18.45% taxes (IGST*(CIF+BCD+AIDC)) = $70.32)
MCX Jun26 [SILVERM 5kg] : $81.88 (less 15% BCD+AISD = $69.60)
MCX Jul26 [SILVER 30kg] : $80.14
IBJA PM spot : $79.55 (less 15% BCD+AISD = $67.62)

China ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ


SGE $74.21๐Ÿ”ป(no VAT)
SFE $74.23๐Ÿ”ป

SGE premium to LBMA spot = ~$7๐Ÿ”ฅ
SFE premium to SGE = $0.02 (๐Ÿ”ปfrom $0.04)


๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ SFE Run Rate​


๐Ÿ”ป444K ozt (13.8t)
Remaining Vault Stock = 30,826,300 ozt

"Withdraw" rate through last 5 days = 15K/day DEPOSIT (๐Ÿ”ปfrom 28K/day withdrawal)

Run rate = ๐Ÿšซ

A 444K outflow replaces a larger 655K outflow in the 5 DMA window and the withdraw rate flips to a deposit rate (as I anticipated last Friday).

~~~

Previous report: https://www.pmbug.com/threads/silver-market-260606.9002/
 
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