#silversqueeze

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jd.com is apparently the largest online metals dealer in China. It's more like buying a generic silver bar from apmex or similar.
 
Well even locally all the major mint 1 oz coins are around $50-52. So its not really that far off i guess. Man, that stuff got pricy. When did that happen.
Weekly, or daily, or hourly. Take your eye off the ball for a few minutes and the game changes. I talked a buddy into buying a $10 roll of 90% junk dimes and he's up $30 on it on the day of delivery.
 

 
I would go long with AGQ, SLVR & SILJ before SLV.
 
None for sale?
My experience at a coin show yesterday showed me that NO ONE was interested in buying silber at it's current spot price.
On dealer had about 50 kilo bars AT SPOT with very little interest in them from what I observed. When I asked him if he was interested in a 100 ounce bar he said "I got dozens of kilos that I can't get rid of, sorry."
That old dog silber has a bad rep…
I could of sold it at $45, but two bucks below spot? Naw, I don't need it.
 
The bid prices for silver at SD are dropping. -325 now on 100 oz bars. The only thing bucking that trend is 2025 eagles. Production problems at the mint apparently.
rn feels like a feeding frenzy everywhere. Pigs are lined up at the trough feeding like crazy. I think they are about to get slaughtered. Even on YouTube we have a new generation of silver gurus all telling us how high silver is going and regurgitating the same old narrative like it was a long lost secret that no-one knows about but has actually been out there since they were in diapers.
I have a close friend that is a mechanic. He was telling me last week one of the truck drivers at work was telling everyone to get in on 2 cryptos before everyone else finds out about them. Only one week before they explode higher.
 
Some churn and burn coin dealers are saying the US is in a temporary glut due to the refiners being slammed with capacity, running 24/7 to produce LBMA and Comex delivery bars, and that some refiners are throttling their incoming deliveries because that can't handle any more. That will bounce up the supply chain, but will be a temporary effect. As soon as the refiners catch up to sellers, the demand will balance, and the US street price will quickly rise, as well as premiums. Right now, only people with cash willing to stockpile silver are buying in quantity. Time will tell if this is an accurate picture. Too often the actual picture is only accurate in hindsight.
 

 
Those would be the big insiders who have found out the problems are Serious. And all hidden from the plebs cause they need to have more stolen from them, never enough.
 
With so little silver mined today, it would be easy to see retail demand wipe out supply in just the US alone. I haven't heard lately but last I knew we were still below 1% of Americans owning any precious metals.

Scottsdale is a good mint and if the CEO says we are running low then I believe him. However I have been hearing these rumors so checking SD's website often. In the last week I haven't seen much movement. 100 oz silver bars are higher in inventory now than they were last week. 1000 oz bars, still the same 13 as last week. Buy back prices are same as last week as well. If a true shortage reveals itself then buyback prices will be + instead of -.

I don't think refining capacity affects much other than 90% and scrap. I cant imagine the refiners buying up 10,100, and 1000 oz bars to melt them down and pour them all over again. If there is truly a buying frenzy then dealers would pay a premium to get all of the above and wouldn't need to melt them down anyway.
I think once we break 50 and hold above it the real frenzy will begin.
 
Man, i am skeptical. If you have to wait four minutes to tell something REALLY important, it probably is a stretch.

We saw premiums rise and inventory low (or pulled off the shelf) during covid. Then, it was pretty obvious most dealers were not offering silver. There still seems plenty.

That might change
 
Got it a little lower heading into the London Fix in 5 mins or so. Just past a double bottom but no worries. Looks like they got it about $1.4 lower for a bit. I doubt any real stuff even changed in price.
 
Profit taking today. Let's see how many weak hands they shake out.
 
Now it makes sense. Dealers created their own shortage buy selling excess inventory they didn't want to sit on. So they needed to raise cash to continue buying from those that are selling. Thats a much different picture than a shortage being created by so many buyers. Add to that, the fact that todays dollars buys much less metal so demand overall will be down even with the same amount of dollars being thrown at the metals.
If the selling continues then we may see a problem with dealers not wanting to buy anymore. If refiners aren't buying then the wholesalers cant buy excess from the dealers. Once that stops then I guess the selling will stop as well but not by choice.
 
More USA retail chatter:

...
Like a chasm was crossed.

It wasn’t fear, uncertainty, or doubt.

It was more like… genuine excitement.

Hoping this keeps up so we are forced to call the mine and direct more ounces away from industry.

Hi Ho.

 

 
AGQ & SILJ should explode on open.
 
AGQ & SILJ should explode on open.
 
Fidfy one an hour later.
 

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