ZH: Glencore the next AIG (Lehman precipitator)?

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http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-09-24/goldman-preparing-sacrifice-next-lehman

TBTD (too big to downgrade)... Expect credit rating agencies to get creative in their need to readjust definitions, thresholds and requirements for various ratings if they need to...
 
With the slow meltdown in China, that Glencore implosion is likely to come sooner than later. I don't see why they just don't unwind those positions rather than let it become Armageddon.
 
Maybe they can't* unwind them.

*politically (think PPT lever) or economically
 
Well, if they can't unwind them, they had best get ready for a global reset, because there isn't enough money in all the worlds treasuries to cover a collapse.
 

https://srsroccoreport.com/mining-giant-glencore-to-sell-gold-silver-output-to-pay-down-debt/

10% of one years production would be roughly 95K ounces gold (x $1150 = $10,9250,000) and 3.5M ounces silver (x $14.50 = $50,750,000). So at full market value, one year's worth of production is roughly $62M on the high side. Forced hedging means they are getting less than market value. Not sure how much less, but they must be selling 15-20 years worth of 10% production to make $1B. I wonder how stable their mine production is to work such a long term deal.
 
* bump *

Well, it's 8-9 years later from the OP. ...


 
Switzerland seems to be the central trouble masquerading as all innocent. Credit Suisse and Glencore... all huge derivative players and therefore market manipulation potential.
 
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