COMEX silver vault stock draining signalling a shift

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pmbug

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100% of COMEX drain (withdrawals) in April are effectively pulled from Eligible category

While crunching the data to update my run rate factor for Registered category draining, I noticed something very unusual! In the month of April, the Registered vault stock actually increased from 76.4M ozt to 80.8M ozt while the total vault stock (Registered + Eligible) lost ~13M ozt.

Essentially, 100% of vault stock in April came out of the Eligible vault stock. Starting around the end of January, I had been checking what percent of the total COMEX silver vault stock draining since October 1 (when the COMEX started draining to support the LBMA's critical dearth of free float vault stock). The ratio had consistently run 57%-60% though the end of March.

It would appear that this shift in draining patterns is signalling a shift in the COMEX vault flow dynamics. It looks like the bullion banks are wanting to maintain a floor on Registered vault stock around 76M-80M ozt.

If this continues, I may have to completely change my run rate analysis to focus on the Eligible vault stock drain rate.
 
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