MF Global account liquidations might cause massive commodities selling on Friday

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The MF Global scandal might negatively impact the commodities markets on Friday. From a comment on Harvey's blog:
From the ZH link:
 
FWIW:
http://www.prnewswire.com/news-rele...to-transfer-mf-global-accounts-133119133.html

It's still not clear how many accounts they are going to be able to transfer in time and how many are going to be liquidated.
 
As I read it more closely, it appears that part 11 is setting a deadline for when accounts must be transfered before they will be ordered liquidated. Presumably any liquidated accounts will be traded off next week. I'm not seeing where a timetable is set for the liquidations, but if they dump them all on Monday, it's going to be a volatile day.
 
I received the following feedback on this issue @ RPF:
http://www.ronpaulforums.com/showth...assive-commodities-selling-Friday#post3712362
 

http://www.prnewswire.com/news-rele...of-mf-global-customer-accounts-133238398.html

They are the 10% ...
 

http://in.reuters.com/article/2011/11/04/idINIndia-60330920111104

So the good news is that it looks like most of the accounts are going to be transfered to other brokers and avoid mandatory liquidation on Monday.

The potentially bad news is that since margin capital was lost or not transfered, it's likely that every transfered account is going to either have to put up more margin capital or liquidate their account anyway at some point next week.

There's no telling how many customers will be liquidating, but I suspect next week will still see some crazy volatility. It just won't be concentrated all on Monday.
 
PMBug, you are doing great reporting from various corners of the financial markets I know little about (MF Global, and even Harvey Organ). This kind of material is exactly why I joined up here, so that I can learn something...

Thx for the comment at my blog!
 
In spite of the CME's efforts, it's looking more and more like most of those MF Global accounts are going to end up facing margin calls or liquidation:
More: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-...ash-unless-missing-funds-found-sipc-says.html
 
I think we are likely to see those accounts transferred in bulk.
 
Yes, they will be transfered - that's not the issue. The trading accounts are being transfered without the cash balances that satisfy initial/maintenance margins. Turd Ferguson @ TF Metals Report already had his (small) account transferred without the cash balance and is facing a margin call on it now:
http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/blog/2887/doubling-down

I asked him for clarification:
http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/comment/83475#comment-83475

and he answered:
http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/comment/83526#comment-83526
 
Celente is out SIX figures.
He takes out Hedges, and as soon as he has enough money in them, he converts to physical.
He is about to puke blood.
CME MUST step up and make this right, or their dead meat.
 
Everybody Knows

I am cross posting this here too, PMBug, I hope that is OK, please let me know if not.

---

I have written perhaps my most important piece at my blog yet. I believe that Thursday, Nov. 17 will be seen as an important day because so much rot, fraud and corruption became visible as the financial markets all cratered, even the good assets (like gold) were sold to cover losses in bad assets (European bonds).

The rot is everywhere, top to bottom, here and in Europe. I see on PMBug's ticker up there that gold, platinum and palladium are ALL currently down over $40 each per oz.

"Everybody Knows"

Or will. Drop me a message and I will send you the link to my blog.
 
Yeah.. about that ~$600 million that is reportedly missing/stolen ... well, it might actually be closer to $1.2 billion that is missing/stolen...
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/mf-gl...e-double-previous-estimate-could-reach-12-bil

"Andrei, you've lost another submarine?"
 
I saw that just today as well PMBug! I also saw a comment at Zero Hedge that made a lot of sense: that the size of each of these financial shipwrecks is almost always 3 times bigger than the initial estimates.

Wow, just saw gold down $52.00 there on your ticker... I think they are putting up the "For Sale" signs...
 
Thoroughly disgusting:
http://jessescrossroadscafe.blogspot.com/2011/12/attempt-to-seize-and-liquidate-customer.html
 
PMBug, Barron's had an article about that as well. I reviewed this weekend's Barron's at my blog. I wrote at some length about Erin Arvidlund's piece about how trustee JAMES GIDDENS has screwed a LOT of people who had "warehouse receipts" (which I gather is more-or-less "allocated" bars).

James Giddens needs more attention, and more people reaching out and expressing their feelings to him on this whole matter...


The Big Lesson here, pounded into our heads yet again :judge:

is if you don't have the physical at hand or very close by, it ain't yours!
 
Pretty sure that quote is from the same Barron's article quoted at Jesse's Cafe.
 
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