Real Estate and foreclosure thread

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TOP ways a Real Estate Agent can COST you 1000s of dollars!​

Jan 26, 2024


25:34
 
Not news, just an interesting story I read.

28-year-old first-time homebuyer went from having roommates to being a landlord: ‘Whenever something goes wrong, it’s a little bit of a crash course’​


Leif Jonasson just recently became a homeowner, but that's not all: he became a landlord, too. In less than a year, the 28-year-old mechanical engineer went from living in an apartment in St. Paul with roommates to buying a duplex in Minneapolis and renting out the bottom floor to a couple. “It made sense to me to have half of the mortgage be paid by somebody that was living in half of my house [with] a wall separating us,” Jonasson told Fortune.

It’s a new experience for him—to say the least. Since he lives there himself, he said, he has an even more vested interest in maintaining the home, and he’s learning a lot about that. “Whenever something goes wrong, it’s a little bit of a crash course and figuring out how to best solve it,” he said.

More:

 
Troubled property developer China Evergrande Group has been ordered to liquidate by a Hong Kong court on Monday due to its inability to convince the court of a viable plan to restructure its debt.

Evergrande, now considered the most indebted property developer in the world with around $300bn of debt, was told by Judge Linda Chan that “enough is enough” and that it “was appropriate for the court make a winding up order against the company.”

 
Troubled property developer China Evergrande Group has been ordered to liquidate by a Hong Kong court on Monday due to its inability to convince the court of a viable plan to restructure its debt.

Evergrande, now considered the most indebted property developer in the world with around $300bn of debt, was told by Judge Linda Chan that “enough is enough” and that it “was appropriate for the court make a winding up order against the company.”


The first domino has fallen...
 

Halifax forced to pay out after making customer ‘homeless’​

Halifax made one of its own customers “homeless” after cancelled mortgage payments led to his home being wrongly repossessed.

The bank has been ordered to pay out thousands in redress and legal fees after a mix up over a payment plan resulted in the homeowner being evicted and forced to live out of a hotel.

Following a ruling by the Financial Ombudsman, the national arbiter of financial disputes, the lender has been ordered to return the house to its owner – a 50-year-old medical professional.

The ombudsman heard the owner, who was not named, initially “thought he had been burgled” when he returned home having been away with work.

More:

 

We Found That Landlords Could Be Using Algorithms to Fix Rent Prices. Now Lawmakers Want to Make the Practice Illegal.​

A group of senators are set to introduce legislation Tuesday that would make it illegal for landlords to use algorithms to artificially inflate the price of rent or reduce the supply of housing.

The proposed law follows a ProPublica investigation that found software sold by Texas-based RealPage was collecting proprietary data from landlords and feeding it into an algorithm that recommended what rents they should charge. Legal experts said the arrangement could help landlords engage in cartel-like behavior if they used it to coordinate pricing.

More:

 

We Found That Landlords Could Be Using Algorithms to Fix Rent Prices. Now Lawmakers Want to Make the Practice Illegal.​

A group of senators are set to introduce legislation Tuesday that would make it illegal for landlords to use algorithms to artificially inflate the price of rent or reduce the supply of housing.

The proposed law follows a ProPublica investigation that found software sold by Texas-based RealPage was collecting proprietary data from landlords and feeding it into an algorithm that recommended what rents they should charge. Legal experts said the arrangement could help landlords engage in cartel-like behavior if they used it to coordinate pricing.

More:


Thats no different than Zillow spitting out its' Zestimates.

Or Tesla using an algo to figure out what to price its cars at.
 
personally i have no idea how commercial real estate is surviving ...

Looks like cracks are starting to form in the dam:

Following a profit warning from New York Community Bancorp on Wednesday, partially attributed to turmoil in the commercial real estate sector, Japan's Aozora Bank Ltd. slashed the value of some of its US office tower loans by more than 50%, according to Bloomberg.

New York Community Bancorp's move to slash its dividend and bolster reserves led to a 38% plunge in its shares yesterday, also triggering the largest drop in the KBW Regional Banking Index since the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank last March.

Like rows of falling dominoes, Aozora Bank, the 16th largest in Japan by market value, recorded a 20% plunge in shares on Thursday after reporting a net loss of 28 billion yen ($191 million) for the fiscal year. This was in stark contrast to its earlier projection of a 24 billion yen profit.
...

More:

 
Federal Reserve Bank Philadelphia said:
We identify occupancy fraud — borrowers who misrepresent their occupancy status as owner-occupants rather than investors — in residential mortgage originations. Unlike previous work, we show that fraud was prevalent in originations not just during the housing bubble, but also persists through more recent times. We also demonstrate that fraud is broad-based and appears in government-sponsored enterprise and bank portfolio loans, not just in private securitization; these fraudulent borrowers make up one-third of the effective investor population. Occupancy fraud allows riskier borrowers to obtain credit at lower interest rates. These fraudulent borrowers perform substantially worse than similar declared investors, defaulting at a 75 percent higher rate. Their defaults are also likelier to be “strategic,” suggesting that they pose a risk in the face of declining house prices.


The 47 page .PDF:
... In contrast to previous studies, we are also able to show that occupancy fraud was common in the GSE market and in loans held in portfolio, not just in private MBS. We find that mortgage borrowers who misrepresented their occupancy status performed worse than otherwise similar declared investors. Their default decisions are also more strategic than other borrower types. Our results are economically significant and suggest that such fraud may also pose a risk in future boom-bust cycles. ...


So they expect more credit deflation/destruction as residential real estate prices go down. Sounds like more stress for banks and MBS holders is imminent.
 
FWIW (dyodd)

Layoffs RAMPANT in 2024 But Economy is GREAT...​

Jan 31, 2024
All we keep hearing about is the soft landing and how the well the economy is doing, yet since the beginning of 2024 literally 100's of thousands of job cuts and layoffs have been announced and its barely even February. How is this a sign of a strong economy.


21:30

For those who prefer to read:

Number of Layoffs Keep Rising Despite Booming Economy Claims – Does The Economy Flourish Only for the Elite?​

In a recent video by real estate expert Michael Bordenaro, the apparent contradiction between a flourishing economy and widespread layoffs takes center stage. As reports of a robust economic landscape flood the news, Bordenaro points to the alarming trend of job cuts, questioning the true health of the nation’s economic pulse.

Bordenaro highlights the surge in layoffs, citing major players like Microsoft, eBay, Salesforce, and Google among those making significant staff reductions. The sheer magnitude of these job cuts, especially this early in the year, raises doubts about the widely touted narrative of economic prosperity.

While AI is often blamed for layoffs in the tech sector, Bordenaro emphasizes that the issue extends beyond technology companies. Major corporations like City Group and UPS are also facing substantial layoffs, challenging the assumption that only tech and AI industries are impacted.

More:

 
One strategy being used is buyers are paying near asking price, but getting seller consessions to buy down their interest rate.
 

Why Americans Are Suddenly Losing Their Home Insurance​

Feb 5, 2024
Many homeowners in the U.S. are losing their home insurance policies. Major insurers like State Farm and Allstate are no longer offering new policies in California. State Farm attributes this to increased wildfire risk, inflation and other challenges in the region. Louisianan and Floridian homeowners are facing similar issues due to flood risk. Watch the video to learn more about why homeowners are receiving non-renewal notices and what that means for the U.S. real estate market.


13:11

Chapters:
0:00 Introduction
1:47 Chapter 1: The insurance market
5:03 Chapter 2: Alternate options
9:14 Chapter 3: Pricing in climate risk
 
Looks like NYCB is down big this morning - more than 10% as of this moment. :popcorn:
 

Treasury rolls out residential real estate transparency rules to combat money laundering​

WASHINGTON (AP) — The Biden administration wants to make residential real estate transactions more transparent by unmasking the owners of certain all-cash purchases. It’s part of an ongoing effort to combat money laundering and the movement of dirty money through the American financial system.

The Treasury Department’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network proposed a regulation on Wednesday that would require real estate professionals to report information to the agency about non-financed sales of residential real estate to legal entities, trusts and shell companies.

All-cash purchases of residential real estate are considered at high risk for money laundering. The rule would not require the reporting of sales to individuals.

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You guys seem to know what's going on. If your house burns down are you obligated to rebuild or can you take a check?
 
Re: residential real estate transparency rules to combat money laundering

Yes, because money launderers find illiquid assets like real estate with title records to be an optimal vehicle for money laundering. This is just more war on cash bullshit laying the groundwork for a CBDC future.
 
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its my understanding ...that you can get a check for what the insurance co appraises the property for ......if that is not a number you are ok with you have to actually rebuild via contract to get replacement value

appraisal and replacement values can be quite different in the insurance world

and obviously you have to have a replacement value policy
 

NYC developer Nir Meir facing charges as accomplices arraigned in $86M fraud scheme: DA​

Developer Nir Meir, who dreamed of leaving his mark on the Manhattan skyline, is now facing serious jail time after authorities accused him Wednesday of running a multimillion-dollar fraud scheme.

Meir — whose luxury real-estate company HFZ Capital Group collapsed amid plans to build $2 billion luxury towers near the High Line — was set to be extradited to New York after being arrested in Miami earlier this week.

Four of Meir’s alleged accomplices were arraigned Wednesday in Manhattan Supreme Court.

Roy Galifi, John Mingione and Kevin Stewart — executives with a construction company that worked with Meir — were accused of grand larceny, conspiracy and criminal possession of stolen property and falsifying business records, charges they denied.

More:

 
its my understanding ...that you can get a check for what the insurance co appraises the property for ......if that is not a number you are ok with you have to actually rebuild via contract to get replacement value

appraisal and replacement values can be quite different in the insurance world

and obviously you have to have a replacement value policy

Yes, it comes from the fact that Market values really have little to do with the cost to build a home. Our market has often been depressed so it costs at least 15-20% more than what the market value would be. Hence, we have little to no spec homes. Just an idiot every once in awhile begging to be taught a lesson.

Some markets where you have bidding frenzies would be the opposite where markets values might be well above what you could build the house.
 
Yes, it comes from the fact that Market values really have little to do with the cost to build a home. Our market has often been depressed so it costs at least 15-20% more than what the market value would be. Hence, we have little to no spec homes. Just an idiot every once in awhile begging to be taught a lesson.

Some markets where you have bidding frenzies would be the opposite where markets values might be well above what you could build the house.
Our market continues to soften, seller concessions are becoming standard practice to cover closing costs and some interest buy downs. They are desperately trying to hide the decline from showing on the top line but appraisers here are starting to see through the give aways albeit slowly as less volume means slower comp saturation. Still money to lend but it's possible they are hiding it in turn down rate as buyers are not qualifying here left and right.

We still have the nationals still building spec homes but at a slower pace and bare bones on options. The resale market is tough and getting tougher, sellers have been zombified by the zestimates and can't believe the difference to reality in realty... so they are stuck in their low interest loan current home. Changing would require much pain and less after the fact.
 
s buyers are not qualifying here left and right

In the end this is the key. The guys with the money, no strike that, the ability to create money via the stroke of a pen control the markets. When banks get scared and stop lending it becomes a self-fulling snowball. It was the exact same story for that Lucky Lopez video. He could not find any bank to fund his 2 acre property and then the one bank they found pulled the program before they could find a property. He would have the money and credit but its not a standard loan and risk scares the heck out of bankers now.
 
You guys seem to know what's going on. If your house burns down are you obligated to rebuild or can you take a check?
Hey Lance,
My experience has been forced rebuild unless insurer is willing to negotiate lump sum. Asked a friend in the fire restoration business and he says that is changing and now all sorts of mixed outcomes can be had depending on which carrier and varying by state and county of location. That sounded like a non answer but home insurance overall is a drastically changing business model, especially in the southeast. If I remember correctly you're somewhere near AV up in NC, so change will be coming your way as well. The hurricanes of the last couple of years, combined with out of control building material costs and limited quality contractor availability has made timely replacement value almost impossible to calculate. It is a HUGE issue and has led to untold losses to insurers from overages and lawsuits, many that won't be settled for years in the future. So actuarials have been working overtime reassessing risk to alter plans or leave markets that they can't stomach or finance major loss in.

One of the first changes was making the homeowner self insure normal minimal loss, they didn't actually announce this but just made the old fashioned 1000 to 2500 dollar incident deductible go away, replaced with a pretty much standard 2% of the top line policy value. Well say your dishwasher overflows and does 10k worth of damage, typical values running 400 to 600k but a prudent person may have a policy 25% over that to cover total loss rebuild making 2% deduct look like 10k to 15k. So home insurance has become major home incident/ catastrophic loss insurance.

The true devil in the details though is that homeowner/major incident/catastrophic loss insurance was never designed to protect you, although you do indeed pay for it, it was to cover the evil banker behind your loan. So when losses happen the insurance company immediately notifies the bank, who then gets involved to making sure the property is made whole. Often supervising the repairs to protect their interest. So in the case of true catastrophic loss, the correct answer on wether one has to rebuild is a combination of policy and insurer, local or state .gov, and the evil banker...

Final note... have you notice how they "Name" all storms, if someone farts upwind they quickly put a name on it as it changes the insurer liability, and can change rebuild specifications of local ordinances as pertains to wind...

Hope this helps...
 
Hey Lance,
My experience has been forced rebuild unless insurer is willing to negotiate lump sum. Asked a friend in the fire restoration business and he says that is changing and now all sorts of mixed outcomes can be had depending on which carrier and varying by state and county of location. That sounded like a non answer but home insurance overall is a drastically changing business model, especially in the southeast. If I remember correctly you're somewhere near AV up in NC, so change will be coming your way as well. The hurricanes of the last couple of years, combined with out of control building material costs and limited quality contractor availability has made timely replacement value almost impossible to calculate. It is a HUGE issue and has led to untold losses to insurers from overages and lawsuits, many that won't be settled for years in the future. So actuarials have been working overtime reassessing risk to alter plans or leave markets that they can't stomach or finance major loss in.

One of the first changes was making the homeowner self insure normal minimal loss, they didn't actually announce this but just made the old fashioned 1000 to 2500 dollar incident deductible go away, replaced with a pretty much standard 2% of the top line policy value. Well say your dishwasher overflows and does 10k worth of damage, typical values running 400 to 600k but a prudent person may have a policy 25% over that to cover total loss rebuild making 2% deduct look like 10k to 15k. So home insurance has become major home incident/ catastrophic loss insurance.

The true devil in the details though is that homeowner/major incident/catastrophic loss insurance was never designed to protect you, although you do indeed pay for it, it was to cover the evil banker behind your loan. So when losses happen the insurance company immediately notifies the bank, who then gets involved to making sure the property is made whole. Often supervising the repairs to protect their interest. So in the case of true catastrophic loss, the correct answer on wether one has to rebuild is a combination of policy and insurer, local or state .gov, and the evil banker...

Final note... have you notice how they "Name" all storms, if someone farts upwind they quickly put a name on it as it changes the insurer liability, and can change rebuild specifications of local ordinances as pertains to wind...

Hope this helps...

i wonder if the "old fashioned" 1000-2500 deductables going away is a regional thing.........never heard of a percentage deductable here..........my old fashioned deductable is in the range you mention
 
i wonder if the "old fashioned" 1000-2500 deductables going away is a regional thing.........never heard of a percentage deductable here..........my old fashioned deductable is in the range you mention
Thanks Ttazz, didn't realize they hadn't fully rolled it out, your area must have normal calculated risk. Feel certain it will spread as it greatly reduces insurer liability and volume of claims. Honestly, many people haven't comprehended the change and won't until they or a friend faces a big incident. Frankly, our area has risks from hurricane flooding and winds, but our normal small risk would be similar to other areas. So I would expect our top end exposure to be greater but low end about the same.

You would not believe what flood plain classified insurance runs here.. beachfront VE zoned can be six figures with a massive deductible.
 
i wonder if the "old fashioned" 1000-2500 deductables going away is a regional thing.........never heard of a percentage deductable here..........my old fashioned deductable is in the range you mention
I just got notified that Am Fam is doing this to me (Wisconsin). From $1,000 deductible to 1% deductible. Clever marketing because 1 sounds like less than 1,000. Most people will probably assume it isn't much of a change.

They also increased the replacement value of my house by 25% and of course, the premium.
 
I just got notified that Am Fam is doing this to me (Wisconsin). From $1,000 deductible to 1% deductible. Clever marketing because 1 sounds like less than 1,000. Most people will probably assume it isn't much of a change.

They also increased the replacement value of my house by 25% and of course, the premium.

one thing i do is....i state all my values ..ie ...house max value...out buildings max values.....max payout on farm equipment....etc ..... so i do not have to deal with insurance co raising values and premiums each year via values.... i am not sure why i am able to do that possibly because i am a hobby farm ....

my insurance agent is basicly a family member i will have to ask her on next visit about the deductable change as that is huge.......we use shelter insurance located in sw missouri
 

Nebraska lawmaker seeks to ban corporations from buying up single-family homes​

A Nebraska lawmaker whose north Omaha district has struggled for years with a housing shortage is pushing a bill that, if passed, could make Nebraska the first in the country to forbid out-of-state hedge funds and other corporate entities from buying up single-family properties.

Sen. Justin Wayne’s bill echoes legislative efforts in other states and in Congress to curtail corporate amassing of single-family homes, which critics say has helped cause the price of homes, rent and real estate taxes to soar in recent years. Wayne said that has been the case in his district, where an Ohio corporation has bought more than 150 single-family homes in recent years — often pushing out individual homebuyers with all-cash offers. The company then rents out the homes.

Experts say the scarcity of homes for purchase can be blamed on a multitude of factors, including sky-high mortgage interest rates and years of underbuilding modest homes.

More:

 
Some quick tidbits in here. NOTE the brief thing on new home builder incentives. 50 Grand in upgrades and 20 Grand in buy downs. Guys the new home markets are collapsing.



Zillow is also playing BIG games with their data. It changes from day to day or computer or I don't even know. A suburb of the Twin Cities that I watch I was looking at the other day. It had mostly had "low" inventory. In fact, this week I put in homes that were built before 2021 and only 22 listings or so came up. BUT then you type in built Only After 2023 and there were One THousand One Hundred plus listing. And today those are mostly gone and the number says 93. It's all fucking lies.
 

When Property Owners Lose the Right to Exclude, the Whole Economy Suffers​

In March 2020, the City of Seattle imposed the first in a series of emergency orders responding to the threat of COVID-19. The orders prohibited landlords from evicting tenants for nonpayment, expired leases, or any other reason unless the tenant presented “an imminent threat to the health or safety of neighbors, the landlord, or the tenant’s or landlord’s household members.”

Under the Fifth and Fourteenth Amendments, states cannot take private property for public use without providing just compensation. A group of rental property owners in Seattle sued the city, arguing that the moratoriums amounted to uncompensated takings. Each of the owners rented out property covered by the moratoriums, and each lost the right to control their own property as a result of the orders.

But the US Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit rejected the owners’ takings claims, based on its interpretation of the Supreme Court case Yee v. City of Escondido (1992). According to the Ninth Circuit, Yee held that the government can change the terms and duration of a tenant’s lease without compensating a landlord, so long as the landlord originally opened the property to the tenant voluntarily.

Now the owners are asking the Supreme Court to take their case, and Cato has filed an amicus brief supporting their petition.

More:

 
Thanks Ttazz, didn't realize they hadn't fully rolled it out, your area must have normal calculated risk. Feel certain it will spread as it greatly reduces insurer liability and volume of claims. Honestly, many people haven't comprehended the change and won't until they or a friend faces a big incident. Frankly, our area has risks from hurricane flooding and winds, but our normal small risk would be similar to other areas. So I would expect our top end exposure to be greater but low end about the same.

You would not believe what flood plain classified insurance runs here.. beachfront VE zoned can be six figures with a massive deductible.

Question for ya. I recently saw a video from the Realestate mindset and it looks like there is a bunch of new construction down there.

How many of these homes do you think actually get listed on your MLS? Is it customary to list all of them or perhaps they just list a few models and most agents know there are a bunch of more choices? Or perhaps they keep most of them closer to the belt, especially when things were going well, and that way they keep a little more control? Just trying to figure out some of the inventory data and who is playing what games.
 
Yes, still have the large nationals building homes spec, not nearly as many as the last couple of years, but still homes going up and new subdivisions going in.

A few examples:

del webb I thing 800 total at build out https://www.delwebb.com/homes/south-carolina/charleston/charleston/del-webb-point-hope-211159

Khov https://www.khov.com/find-new-homes...eral&msclkid=696fcaa4baa3157fd07eaf781479cad6

horton https://www.drhorton.com/south-carolina/charleston

Toll brothers https://www.tollbrothers.com/luxury-homes/Charleston-SC

Crescent https://www.crescenthomes.net/

Notice how many new subdivisions listed under coming soon.. they all have inventory their trying to move.

On listing in mls, some companies list all even if just for comp purposes. Since prices have softened, some are skirting listing as our mls requires deals and buy downs to be called out on a separate line with specific percentages or dollar amounts stated. One new sales agent I know has led the region for a national with over 40 mil in sales each of the last 3 years, they have been moved to a townhome community and they'll be lucky to sell 6 mil this year... times are a changing.
 
Yes, still have the large nationals building homes spec, not nearly as many as the last couple of years, but still homes going up and new subdivisions going in.

A few examples:

del webb I thing 800 total at build out https://www.delwebb.com/homes/south-carolina/charleston/charleston/del-webb-point-hope-211159

Khov https://www.khov.com/find-new-homes...eral&msclkid=696fcaa4baa3157fd07eaf781479cad6

horton https://www.drhorton.com/south-carolina/charleston

Toll brothers https://www.tollbrothers.com/luxury-homes/Charleston-SC

Crescent https://www.crescenthomes.net/

Notice how many new subdivisions listed under coming soon.. they all have inventory their trying to move.

On listing in mls, some companies list all even if just for comp purposes. Since prices have softened, some are skirting listing as our mls requires deals and buy downs to be called out on a separate line with specific percentages or dollar amounts stated. One new sales agent I know has led the region for a national with over 40 mil in sales each of the last 3 years, they have been moved to a townhome community and they'll be lucky to sell 6 mil this year... times are a changing.

Do you have many or any, appraisers actually call you to find incentives and buydowns for those comparable sales? It seems to me that data is very hard to come by, accurately at least. I know many MLS's have that line but it seems many of them just play fast and loose with the rules. And you have no real obligation to tell an appraiser anything. Yet somehow we are supposed to Sherlock Homes any hidden incentives in the comps, let alone its hard enough when hiding things on the subject property.
 
Yes, still have the large nationals building homes spec, not nearly as many as the last couple of years, but still homes going up and new subdivisions going in.

A few examples:

del webb I thing 800 total at build out https://www.delwebb.com/homes/south-carolina/charleston/charleston/del-webb-point-hope-211159

Khov https://www.khov.com/find-new-homes...eral&msclkid=696fcaa4baa3157fd07eaf781479cad6

horton https://www.drhorton.com/south-carolina/charleston

Toll brothers https://www.tollbrothers.com/luxury-homes/Charleston-SC

Crescent https://www.crescenthomes.net/

Notice how many new subdivisions listed under coming soon.. they all have inventory their trying to move.

On listing in mls, some companies list all even if just for comp purposes. Since prices have softened, some are skirting listing as our mls requires deals and buy downs to be called out on a separate line with specific percentages or dollar amounts stated. One new sales agent I know has led the region for a national with over 40 mil in sales each of the last 3 years, they have been moved to a townhome community and they'll be lucky to sell 6 mil this year... times are a changing.

Ouch, 40 million to 6 million... One thing is for sure, this industry is going to be very different in the future.
 
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