Venezuela troubles (currency, economy and potential FAFO)

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Venezuela has zero chance. The US is provoking as a.means to invade. Brazil would be next.
 
Nobel Laureate Maria Corina Machado:

“Twenty-six years ago, Venezuelan youth fell in love with a socialist in Hugo Chávez. When people pointed to Cuba as a warning, they said, “Venezuela is not Cuba. And Cuba is not real socialism.” But here we are—worse than Cuba.

Socialism always follows the same pattern. It elevates the state above the citizen, strips away your autonomy, your conscience, your dignity, your ability to choose. And it does so with a seductive lie. It whispers of equality, but the only equality it delivers is at the bottom—where everyone is dragged down together. That has been the case in every nation, on every continent, in every culture where it has been tried. The result is always the same: a gigantic state that crushes the people beneath it, and once it takes hold, is terribly hard to remove.

Only free societies—where the individual comes first—can nurture both liberty and the responsibility that sustains it. Because freedom without responsibility decays, and responsibility without freedom is tyranny. But when merit becomes the path to rise, when effort and creativity are rewarded, then every citizen is called to succeed—the whole nation rises together.

That is what we want for Venezuela. And it is why I say to the American people: Do not be seduced. Socialism is the sexiest path to losing your freedom. Guard your freedom jealously. Defend it fiercely. Because freedom is not just an American promise—it is the hope of the world.”
Click to expand...

 

Trump gives CIA permission for ‘covert’ action in Venezuela as president says military ‘looking at land’ strikes​

Donald Trump’s administration has authorized the CIA to covertly operate inside Venezuela, marking a significant escalation of an aggressive U.S. military campaign against Nicolas Maduro’s regime.

The authorization reportedly grants the CIA permission to take “covert action” against Maduro and his government, including as part of a wider military operation.

Trump told reporters at the White House Wednesday that he “authorized” CIA operations because Venezuela “emptied their prisons into the United States of America” and flooded the country with drugs.

Last month, the administration declared the United States is formally engaged in an “armed conflict” with drug cartels that the president has labeled “unlawful combatants,” according to a confidential notice to members of Congress. The notice appears to invoke extraordinary wartime powers to justify a series of missile strikes targeting boats off the coast of Venezuela and in the Caribbean that have killed at least 27 people in recent weeks.

More:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...-at-land-strikes/ar-AA1OxIxi?ocid=socialshare
 
Dying for oil, gold, or bird guano.....it's a soldiers life.
 

Venezuela prepares ‘massive deployment’ of forces in case of US attack​

The Venezuelan government has said it is preparing its armed forces in the event of an invasion or military attack by the United States.

A statement shared by Minister of People’s Power for Defence Vladimir Padrino on Tuesday said that the preparations include the “massive deployment of ground, aerial, naval, riverine and missile forces”, as well as the participation of police, militias and citizens’ units.

More:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...ase-of-us-attack/ar-AA1Qfaje?ocid=socialshare
 
That is a 36 hour war before Venezuela gets wiped out. At this point we go in with the USMC and A-10s or stop all the BS.
 

China moves into Venezuela as Maduro regime gets Beijing lifeline amid US tensions​

As President Donald Trump warns of "zero tolerance" for narco-states in America’s backyard, China is tightening its grip on Venezuela — a high-risk economic and political bet that could soon collide with U.S. power.

U.S. defense officials confirmed to Reuters last month that a U.S. aircraft carrier strike group had entered the Southern Command region, which covers the Caribbean and the northern coast of South America, to monitor narcotrafficking routes linked to Venezuela’s military leadership.

More:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...amid-us-tensions/ar-AA1QjiQE?ocid=socialshare
 

Russia "ready" to help Venezuela military​

Russia is “ready” to help Venezuela as the U.S. beefs up its military presence near the South American nation, Russia’s foreign minister said.

Caracas and Moscow signed a strategic partnership in May. The Kremlin is “ready to fully act within the framework of the obligations that were mutually stipulated in this agreement with our Venezuelan friends,” Sergey Lavrov said in comments reported by Russian state media on Tuesday.

Russia and Venezuela have long-standing diplomatic, economic and military ties stretching back to Venezuela’s former leader, Hugo Chávez. A factory to pump out Kalashnikov munitions opened in Venezuela in July and a Russian cargo aircraft, sanctioned by the U.S. and known for transporting defense equipment to Venezuela, landed in the country late last month, according to flight records.

More:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...nezuela-military/ar-AA1QiUNa?ocid=socialshare
 
Hmmmm
Not so long ago Russia pointed out that the more weapons the usa / nato supplied to Ukraine, along with tech and targeting information, the less they would be able to complain if Russia helped a South American country that was threatened by USA

Russian tech and air defence kit is very capable of downing anything uninvited.
So while it might be a short war, a bunch of F35’s and a carrier could be quite a high price to pay …….
 
You send a hundred cheap missiles and drones along with several real bad ass missiles like iran did, this could get bloody AND expensive...
 

Defaulted Venezuelan Bonds Have Climbed More Than 100% This Year As Traders Bet On Regime Change​

Traders are increasingly buying defaulted Venezuelan bonds betting that regime change in the country will lead to a new investor-friendly government that will cut a deal to begin paying back the country's debt.

Bloomberg noted that the most widely traded bonds have climbed more than 100% this year, clocking in at more than 30 cents on the dollar compared to 16 cents in January.

More:

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/sav...on-regime-change/ar-AA1QLpyQ?ocid=socialshare
 
I bet Maduro lasts.lomger than Zelensky.
 
Now that Venezuela has become a pretty big story in the past couple weeks...
 


🚨 BREAKING: It's been confirmed that the MASSIVE military buildup in our own hemisphere isn't JUST about Maduro and Venezuela

"It's about getting Russia, China and Iran OUT of the western hemisphere."

Now that's what I voted for 🔥🇺🇸

"Should President Trump order strikes against the Maduro regime...about 30% of all deployed American warships, including Gerald R. Ford, now on station."

"There are over 200 tomahawk cruise missiles in theater, aboard destroyers, and U.S. Marines aboard the USS Iwo Jima."

"Gen. Razin Caine arrived in Puerto Rico yesterday to meet the forces part of Operation Southern Spear."
 
I thunk the Venezuelans would welcome an invasion while Americans just want to enjoy the holidays.
 

🔴 Mysterious Forces SECRETLY Inside Venezuela? (prepare for something BIG) | Alex Krainer​

 
I really love grok!



A boat in international waters that is not running a national flag is categorized in international law the same way a pirate is. Such boats have absolutely no national or international protections, and you cannot commit a war crime against them.

A vessel in international waters is required under UNCLOS to sail under the flag of a specific nation. If it does not, it is legally considered a stateless vessel. A stateless vessel has no right to the protections normally afforded to ships under a national flag, including immunity from interference by other states.

UNCLOS Articles 92, 94, 110, and customary maritime law spell out the consequences clearly:
1. Stateless vessels have no sovereign protection. A flagged ship is an extension of its flag-state’s sovereignty. A stateless vessel is not. This matters because “war crimes” presuppose protected persons or protected property. A stateless vessel is legally unprotected.

2. Any state may stop, board, search, seize, or disable, a stateless vessel. UNCLOS Article 110 explicitly authorizes boarding and seizure. The law does not require states to risk their own personnel or assets while doing so. Disabling a vessel that refuses inspection, including firing on it, is legally permitted under both UNCLOS and long-established state practice.

3. War crimes require an armed conflict. You cannot commit a “war crime” outside an armed conflict. War crimes occur only within the context of international humanitarian law (IHL). Enforcing maritime law against a stateless vessel is a law enforcement action, not an IHL situation.
No armed conflict = no war crime possible.

4. Lethal force may be used when a vessel refuses lawful orders. The International Maritime Organization’s “Use of Force” guidance for maritime interdiction recognizes that disabling fire, even lethal force, is lawful when a vessel refuses lawful boarding, attempts to flee, poses a threat, or engages in illicit activities such as piracy or narcotics trafficking.

Once again: law enforcement rules apply, not IHL.

5. Sinking a stateless vessel is not prohibited by UNCLOS. UNCLOS permits seizure of a stateless vessel and leaves the means entirely to the enforcing state so long as necessity and proportionality are respected. If the vessel flees, attacks, or refuses lawful commands, sinking it is legally permissible. Many states routinely do this to drug-smuggling vessels (e.g., semi-submersibles) without it ever being treated as a war crime.

6. No flag = no jurisdictional shield. The entire reason international law requires ships to fly a flag is to prevent this exact situation. Flagless vessels are legally vulnerable by design.

Because a stateless vessel has no protected status, because UNCLOS authorizes interdiction of such vessels, because lethal force may be used in maritime law enforcement when necessary, and because war crimes require an armed conflict that is not present here, sinking an unflagged ship in international waters is not a war crime.
 
searcher

Post in thread 'Oil Market News, OPEC+, sanctions and price shocks'

US Seizes Oil Tanker Off the Coast of Venezuela​

US forces have intercepted and seized a sanctioned oil tanker off the coast of Venezuela, according to people familiar with the matter, a move that marks a serious escalation of tensions between the two countries.

The White House didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment. State oil company Petroleos de Venezuela SA and Venezuela’s oil and information ministries didn’t immediately reply to requests for comment.

More:

 
Seizing a ship is an act of war. What is the over/under on Maduro in Vegas?
 
Goldhedge said:
I really love grok!



A boat in international waters that is not running a national flag is categorized in international law the same way a pirate is. Such boats have absolutely no national or international protections, and you cannot commit a war crime against them.

A vessel in international waters is required under UNCLOS to sail under the flag of a specific nation. If it does not, it is legally considered a stateless vessel. A stateless vessel has no right to the protections normally afforded to ships under a national flag, including immunity from interference by other states.

UNCLOS Articles 92, 94, 110, and customary maritime law spell out the consequences clearly:
1. Stateless vessels have no sovereign protection. A flagged ship is an extension of its flag-state’s sovereignty. A stateless vessel is not. This matters because “war crimes” presuppose protected persons or protected property. A stateless vessel is legally unprotected.

2. Any state may stop, board, search, seize, or disable, a stateless vessel. UNCLOS Article 110 explicitly authorizes boarding and seizure. The law does not require states to risk their own personnel or assets while doing so. Disabling a vessel that refuses inspection, including firing on it, is legally permitted under both UNCLOS and long-established state practice.

3. War crimes require an armed conflict. You cannot commit a “war crime” outside an armed conflict. War crimes occur only within the context of international humanitarian law (IHL). Enforcing maritime law against a stateless vessel is a law enforcement action, not an IHL situation.
No armed conflict = no war crime possible.

4. Lethal force may be used when a vessel refuses lawful orders. The International Maritime Organization’s “Use of Force” guidance for maritime interdiction recognizes that disabling fire, even lethal force, is lawful when a vessel refuses lawful boarding, attempts to flee, poses a threat, or engages in illicit activities such as piracy or narcotics trafficking.

Once again: law enforcement rules apply, not IHL.

5. Sinking a stateless vessel is not prohibited by UNCLOS. UNCLOS permits seizure of a stateless vessel and leaves the means entirely to the enforcing state so long as necessity and proportionality are respected. If the vessel flees, attacks, or refuses lawful commands, sinking it is legally permissible. Many states routinely do this to drug-smuggling vessels (e.g., semi-submersibles) without it ever being treated as a war crime.

6. No flag = no jurisdictional shield. The entire reason international law requires ships to fly a flag is to prevent this exact situation. Flagless vessels are legally vulnerable by design.

Because a stateless vessel has no protected status, because UNCLOS authorizes interdiction of such vessels, because lethal force may be used in maritime law enforcement when necessary, and because war crimes require an armed conflict that is not present here, sinking an unflagged ship in international waters is not a war crime.
Click to expand...

Mmm, USA. No flag = we Kill U 🤫
 
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